Rendahnya GBP / USD, tetapi Beberapa Melihat Resiko ke Depan
Rendahnya GBP / USD, tetapi Beberapa Melihat Risiko ke Depan karena Pembicaraan Brexit Diatur untuk Berlanjut
GBP / USD pindah dari posisi terendah satu bulan pada hari Kamis, tetapi tetap di bawah tekanan karena fokus bergeser ke risiko Inggris meninggalkan Uni Eropa tanpa kesepakatan karena kedua belah pihak akan memperbarui pembicaraan minggu depan.
GBP / USD turun 0,52% menjadi $ 1,2449, tetapi telah serendah 1,2408 intraday.
Brexit akan kembali menjadi pendorong utama sterling, kata Rabobank. Ini memperingatkan potensi penurunan sterling di bawah $ 1,20 dalam tiga bulan ke depan di tengah ketidakpastian ekonomi di sekitar apakah AS dan Uni Eropa akan dapat menyetujui kesepakatan pasca-Brexit pada hubungan masa depan mereka.
Sehari sebelumnya, Inggris dan Uni Eropa menyetujui tanggal untuk tiga putaran negosiasi berikutnya, dengan pembicaraan yang akan diadakan melalui konferensi video dalam minggu-minggu mulai 20 April, 11 Mei dan 1 Juni.
Lainnya juga menggemakan sentimen bearish pada sterling.
Commerzbank (DE: CBKG) mengatakan pihaknya melihat EUR / GBP mengakhiri tahun di 89 pence per euro, karena Inggris belum mengindikasikan pihaknya bersedia memperpanjang batas waktu untuk pembicaraan perdagangan.
Tanpa kesepakatan, Inggris berisiko meninggalkan Uni Eropa tanpa kesepakatan perdagangan, yang banyak orang percaya akan menimbun tekanan lebih lanjut pada ekonomi pada saat pertumbuhan diperkirakan akan mendapat tekanan berat karena dampak dari pandemi Covid-19.
“Sementara kasus dasar saya adalah bahwa Brussels dan London akan mencapai semacam kesepakatan pada menit terakhir, saya pikir akan ada fase ketidakpastian dengan volatilitas sterling yang lebih tinggi sebelum itu terjadi,” kata Thu Lan Nguyen, seorang asing. pertukaran strategi di Commerzbank, menurut Bloomberg. “Masih jauh dari jelas apakah pemerintah Inggris benar-benar akan bersedia untuk memperpanjang negosiasi karena krisis saat ini.”
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