Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: Gold and WTI Crude Oil Climb Higher Amid Market Optimism


Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,350 resistance level. WTI Crude Oil price climbed higher above $66.50 and might extend gains.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today

• The gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,330.
  
• A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
  
• WTI Crude Oil price started a decent increase above the $66.60 resistance levels.
  
• There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $67.15 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
  

Gold Price Technical Analysis


On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,280 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,330 and $3,350 resistance levels.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,360. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,373 and the price is now consolidating.

On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,350 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,282 swing low to the $3,373 high.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

DAX Stock Index Declines Amid Trump Tariff Threat


The German stock index DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini at FXOpen) is showing bearish momentum at the start of the week. This may be driven by a combination of factors, the most significant of which is the threat of tariffs on Europe from the United States.

According to Reuters, US President Donald Trump has announced a 30% tariff on most goods from the EU, set to come into effect next month. However, the decision is not yet final. Analysts caution against premature panic, suggesting that negotiations could still result in a trade agreement — nonetheless, the chart reflects a sense of unease among investors.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

What Is the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?


Candlestick patterns offer traders a way to read price action and spot potential changes in momentum. One notable pattern is the evening star, a three-candle formation that signals the start of a possible downtrend. This article breaks down what the evening star looks like, how it works, and how traders typically use it.

What Is the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern?

The evening star is a three-candle pattern that traders watch for after a strong upward move. It's considered a bearish reversal pattern, signalling that bullish momentum is fading. The setup consists of three candles:

• The first candle is a large bullish candle—it shows a clear upward direction.
  
• The second is much smaller. This middle candle—the star—reflects hesitation. Buyers and sellers are more balanced, and the market's pace slows.
  
• The third candle acts as confirmation. It's a solid bearish candle that closes deep into the body of the first.
  

The middle candle also often gaps up from the first, especially in stocks or indices, but gaps aren't essential. What matters is the sequence: strength, indecision, reversal. The further the final candle closes into the body of the first, the stronger the pattern is considered.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 14 - 18 July

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Inflation Rate in Canada, US, and UK, US PPI, Earnings Reports

In this video, we'll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let's dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week's most critical events driving global markets.

👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— Inflation Rate in Canada
— US Inflation Rate
— UK Inflation Rate
— US Producer Price Index
— Corporate Earnings Statements

Don't miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.




Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

How Do Traders Use the Pivot Points Indicator?


Pivot points are a popular technical analysis tool for spotting areas where the price is expected to react, i.e. pause or reverse. Calculated using the previous day's high, low, and close, they're projected onto the current session to highlight potential support and resistance levels, especially useful for intraday traders.

Alongside stock charts, pivot point levels can be used in a wide variety of markets, including forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. As a versatile indicator, pivot points also come in many different types. This article breaks down the definition of pivot points, the variations traders use, and how they can fit into a broader trading strategy.

A Deeper Look at Pivot Points
A common question in technical analysis is, "What is a pivot point?" Pivot points trading, or pivot point theory, is a popular technical analysis concept used in a range of financial asset classes, including stocks, currencies, cryptocurrencies*, and commodities. The indicator assists traders in gauging overall market trends and determining possible support and resistance barriers.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support Level


As of today, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the British pound has declined by more than 2% against the US dollar since the beginning of July. Notably, the pace of the decline accelerated on Friday and continued into Monday.

According to Reuters, the pound is under pressure due to market concerns over a potential economic slowdown amid an escalating trade war. Last week's data confirmed a contraction in UK GDP, which could have far-reaching implications. In this context, criticism of the UK government's failure to reduce public spending is becoming more pronounced.

What's next for GBP/USD?



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Equity Markets Ahead of the US Inflation Report


Today at 15:30 GMT+3, the US inflation report (Consumer Price Index, or CPI) is scheduled for release. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect the inflation rate to rise from 2.4% to 2.6%.

The actual figures will provide market participants with grounds to debate not only the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut, but also the evolving tensions between Donald Trump and Jerome Powell.

Should the report deliver any surprises, it will almost certainly trigger heightened volatility across the equity markets. For now, however, investors are seemingly optimistic about the upcoming fundamental data — especially given the commencement of Q2 earnings season, which lends additional weight to today's macroeconomic indicators.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the US Dollar Index (DXY)


The US Dollar Index (DXY) is now available to trade via CFDs at FXOpen. We don't even need to say that it's one of the most influential benchmarks in global currency markets. The index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, experiences heightened volatility and presents potential opportunity.

Understanding the DXY: A Macro Lens on the Dollar
The DXY tracks the relative strength of the US dollar versus a weighted currency basket including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Although the euro comprises nearly 58% of the index, the DXY reflects broad USD strength or weakness across global markets, not just against a single currency.

Traders and analysts use the DXY as a key macro indicator—to track policy divergence between central banks, to hedge USD exposure, and to assess broader market sentiment. Rising DXY levels often signal tightening US policy or global risk aversion, while declines may reflect weakening growth expectations, dovish Fed policy, or geopolitical stress. In volatile environments like 2025, the DXY serves as a real-time barometer of global confidence in the US economy and dollar-based assets.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

European Currencies Test Key Support Levels


European currencies have temporarily stabilised following a phase of downward correction, as markets await the release of key economic data. In the absence of new strong catalysts, the market has adopted a wait-and-see approach near critical support levels — 1.3400 for GBP/USD and 1.1600 for EUR/USD. Investors' attention is firmly focused on inflation figures, which may either support a resumption of recent bullish trends or serve as a trigger for a deeper correction.

Today, market participants are closely monitoring UK inflation data. In the coming trading sessions, investors are also expecting a batch of macroeconomic releases from the eurozone, including Italy's CPI and trade balance figures — these could help define the short-term trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.

Amid uncertainty, investors continue to price in a potential correction in the US dollar. At the same time, the persistent divergence between the Federal Reserve and European regulators remains a key factor shaping the trend in major currency pairs.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair tested the important support level near 1.3400 yesterday. Technical analysis of GBP/USD suggests a continuation of the downward correction within the formation of a Tower pattern. Should there be a sharp rebound from the 1.3300–1.3340 zone, the price may return to the 1.3470–1.3500 range.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report


Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise.

As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts.

However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut.

The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow).



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Surges Above $170


Yesterday, Nvidia's (NVDA) share price rose by more than 4%, with the following developments:
→ It surpassed the psychological level of $170 per share;
→ Reached another all-time high;
→ Gained more than 9% since the beginning of the month.

The bullish sentiment is driven by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's visit to China shortly after meeting with US President Trump. At the same time:

→ US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick stated that the planned resumption of sales of Nvidia H20 AI chips in China is part of the US negotiations on rare earth metals.
→ The head of Nvidia stated that he was assured licences would be granted very quickly, and that a large number of orders for H20 chip deliveries had already been received from Chinese companies.

Market participants are viewing the situation with strong optimism, and analysts are raising their valuations for NVDA shares:
→ Morningstar analysts raised their fair value estimate for Nvidia shares from $140 to $170.
→ Oppenheimer analysts increased their target price from $170 to $200.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains while USD/JPY Rises


EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650. USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 149.20 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone.
  
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
  
• USD/JPY climbed higher above the 147.50 and 148.40 levels.
  
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 148.40 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
  

EUR/USD Technical Analysis


On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level.

EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low.

The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Further While USD/CAD Consolidates Gains


GBP/USD started a downside correction from the 1.3620 zone. USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3750 level.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound started a fresh decline and settled below the 1.3500 zone.
  
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3415 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  
• USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3775 resistance.
  
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3715 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
  

GBP/USD Technical Analysis


On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled above the 1.3600 zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline below the 1.3550 pivot level against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair dipped below the 1.3500 and 1.3450 levels. A low was formed at 1.3364 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, it is facing resistance near the 1.3475 level. The next key resistance is near 1.3490 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3619 swing high to the 1.3364 low.

An upside break above the 1.3490 zone could send the pair toward 1.3520 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level.

More gains might open the doors for a test of 1.3620. If there is another decline, the pair could find support near the 1.3415 level and a connecting bullish trend line. The first major support sits near the 1.3365 zone.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Nasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech Earnings


The earnings season is gaining momentum. This week, major technology companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to release their quarterly results.

Given that 85% of the 53 S&P 500 companies that have already reported have exceeded analysts' expectations, it is reasonable to assume that market participants are also anticipating strong results from the big tech names. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) set an all-time high last week — a level that may be surpassed (potentially more than once) before the end of August.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

How Can You Trade with the Evening Doji Star Pattern?


The evening doji star is a well-known candlestick pattern used to highlight potential bearish reversals. It's made up of three candles and often appears after strong uptrends, catching traders' attention when momentum starts to fade. In this article, we explore the evening doji star, how it forms, and how to trade it.

What Is the Evening Doji Star Pattern?

The evening doji star is a three-candle pattern that may signal a potential bearish reversal after an uptrend. It shows bullish strength giving way to hesitation, then selling pressure.

The three candles are:

- Bullish, typically strong and showing clear buying interest.
- A doji, a candle with little to no real body, where open and close level are nearly equal. This evening star doji signals indecision and may come after a small gap up.
- Sharp bearish that closes deep into the body of the first. This final candle acts as confirmation that sellers may be taking control.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.