Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD Rate Surges to Two-Month High After Inflation News


Today, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for the UK were published. According to ForexFactory:

→ Annual CPI: actual = 2.3%; expected = 2.1%; previous = 3.2%.

→ Annual Core CPI: actual = 3.9%; expected = 3.6%; previous = 4.2%.

Thus, it can be asserted that:

→ The current inflation level is at its lowest since 2021.

→ It is close to the target levels of 2%.

However, economists polled by Reuters had expected a sharper drop to 2.1%, based on falling energy prices.

Additionally, inflation in the services sector (a key indicator monitored by the Bank of England due to the dominance of this sector in the UK economy) only slightly decreased to 5.9% from 6%.

As a result, CNBC reports that market participants have reduced the likelihood of the Bank of England easing monetary policy:

→ The probability of a rate cut in June has decreased to 15% compared to 50% before the inflation news was published.

→ The probability of a rate cut in August was estimated at 40% compared to 70% before the publication.

The currency market reacted with a surge in volatility – the GBP/USD rate jumped to a two-month high, reaching the 1.27555 level. However, as the market absorbed the data, the price began to gradually decline.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

After Earnings Report, NVDA Stock Price Exceeds $1,000


For the first time in history, Nvidia's stock price has reached a four-digit number, and its market capitalisation has surpassed $2.5 trillion, ranking third globally after Microsoft and Apple. This surge is due to a strong earnings report, driven by high demand for AI chips:

→ Earnings per share: actual = $6.12, expected = $5.60;
→ Gross revenue: actual = $26.04 billion, expected = $24.59 billion.

Additionally, Nvidia announced a 10-for-1 stock split to make shares more accessible and attract new investors, which should support NVDA stock in the future.

While yesterday's main trading session closed around $950 per share, the price rose by approximately 6% in after-hours trading. Thus, NVDA's stock price has increased by over 100% since the beginning of the year. Can the rally continue?

On March 28, in the article "Stock Market Analysis: NVDA Losing Leadership?", we:
→ Noted signs of weakness relative to the S&P 500 index;
→ Constructed an ascending blue channel;
→ Suggested a potential pullback to the $800 level.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD Price Forms Bullish Reversal Amid Key News


Last night, the FOMC meeting minutes were released. According to USNews, there were no major surprises. However, the confirmation of persistent inflation – along with hints that some officials discussed potential future rate hikes – displayed a "hawkish" stance. The dollar index initially rose following the minutes' release but returned to pre-release levels this morning, suggesting the initial reaction might have been incorrect.

Subsequently, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for key European economies was published. According to ForexFactory:
→ Flash Manufacturing PMI (France): actual = 46.7; expected = 45.8; previous = 45.3;
→ Flash Services PMI (France): actual = 49.4; expected = 51.8; previous = 51.3;
→ Flash Manufacturing PMI (Germany): actual = 45.4; expected = 43.4; previous = 42.5;
→ Flash Services PMI (Germany): actual = 53.9; expected = 53.5; previous = 53.2.

Overall, the actual PMI figures, considered a leading indicator of economic health, exceeded expectations and gave the euro a bullish push.

The combined effect of the euro's rise and the dollar's decline since midnight resulted in a four-hour EUR/USD chart candle with a long lower tail (indicated by an arrow), suggesting demand outweighs supply. A subsequent bullish candle could confirm this.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

USD to CAD Analytical Predictions in 2024, 2025 and Beyond


This comprehensive article delves into the intricacies of the USD to CAD exchange rate, exploring the factors that may influence its trajectory in 2024, 2025, and beyond. From economic outlooks to key market drivers, this article provides valuable insights for traders navigating the complexities of currency trading.

The Canadian Dollar's Recent Performance

Over the past several years, the USD/CAD exchange rate has experienced a variety of shifts, reflecting broader economic trends and specific events in both the United States and Canada. To see how the pair’s movements have unfolded over the years, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to interact with live USD/CAD charts.

Throughout 2019, the USD/CAD exchange rate remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 1.35 and 1.30. This period was marked by heightened trade tensions between the US and its key trading partners, primarily China, which had a ripple effect on the pair due to both the US and Canada's significant trade relationships.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

European Currencies Testing Key Levels: Contributing Factors


In recent trading sessions, a significant amount of crucial macroeconomic data has been released from the US, Europe, and the UK:

• Wednesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the UK (the figure came in higher than experts' forecast at 2.3% versus 2.1%)
• Wednesday: Publication of the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting
• Thursday: US Manufacturing PMI (the figure exceeded experts' forecast at 50.9 versus 50.0)

This rich mix of data contributed to the USD/JPY pair testing 157.00, EUR/USD sellers attempting to break key support at 1.0800, and the GBP/USD pair halting its recent strengthening and returning to 1.2700.

EUR/USD

Technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair indicates the development of a bearish “dark cloud cover” pattern on the daily timeframe, formed on May 16. If the pair's sellers manage to break the support at 1.0800, the downward movement of the pair could extend towards 1.0730-1.0710. A resumption of the upward movement can be expected once the price moves above 1.0900. Today, several macroeconomic indicators are due for release, which could either reinforce the current trend or lead to the formation of reversal patterns:

• Today at 09:00 (GMT+3:00) Germany's Q1 GDP
• Today at 13:00 (GMT+3:00) Eurogroup Meeting

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Signal Bearish Acceleration


Gold price started a sharp decline from $2,450. Crude oil prices declined steadily below the $80.00 support and moved into a bearish zone.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

• Gold price climbed higher toward the $2,450 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
• A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $2,375 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
• Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $78.00 support zone.
• A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $78.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price rallied heavily above the $2,350 resistance. The price even spiked above $2,425 before the bears appeared.

A high was formed near $2,450 before there was a major decline. There was a move below the $2,400 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $2,355 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.



VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

S&P-500 Analysis: Good News is Bad News


Yesterday, S&P Global reported its Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) values for the US, which exceeded expectations. According to ForexFactory:

→ Manufacturing PMI: actual = 50.9; expected = 50.0; previous = 50.0.

→ Services PMI: actual = 54.8 (the highest value since May 2023); expected = 51.2; previous = 51.3.

However, the high PMI values, indicating a healthy economy, led to a drop in the stock index. The S&P-500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by more than 1.5% following the publication.

What explains this case of "good news is bad news"?

The point is, amid high business activity, manufacturers reported rising prices for a range of resources, suggesting that goods inflation might strengthen in the coming months. Stock market participants might have interpreted this as a reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain high rates for a longer period – hence the sharp decline in the index.

"Companies remain cautious with respect to the economic outlook amid uncertainty over the future path of inflation and interest rates, and continue to cite worries over geopolitical instabilities and the presidential election," said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, in an interview with Reuters.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Drops Over 3.6% in 2 Days


The price of gold has fallen by more than 3.6% over 2 days, as indicated by today's XAU/USD chart. The day before yesterday, at the opening of the daily candle, the price of gold was $2421 per ounce, and yesterday at the close it was $2331.

This can be explained by market participants expecting higher Federal Reserve interest rates for a longer period. However, although gold is a hedge against inflation, it has two drawbacks:
→ It does not inherently generate income;
→ The gold market may be overvalued – after all, a historical peak was reached on May 20th.

Therefore, investors are increasingly paying attention to bonds – they also allow hedging against inflation, while their yields are rising.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's 20 - 24 May Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Nasdaq 100, NVIDIA, EUR/USD, Gold price

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

• Tech Stocks Back in Vogue as Nasdaq 100 Rallies to Record High
• After Earnings Report, NVDA Stock Price Exceeds $1,000
• EUR/USD Price Forms Bullish Reversal Amid Key News
• Gold Price Reaches Historic High

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/JPY Analysis: The Market is Indecisive Near Its Peak Since May 1


As the USD/JPY chart shows today:

→ The price is in an upward trend (indicated by the blue channel) that has been relevant since the beginning of 2024.

→ On Thursday, May 23, the exchange rate nearly reached 157.2 yen per US dollar, surpassing the peak of May 14.

→ Following this, the market began to stabilise – indicated by the Bollinger Bands' width showing low volatility, which can be interpreted as a sign of market equilibrium or indecision among participants.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Can Last Week's Gold Price Rally Be Replicated?


Gold holds a particularly exceptional status among precious metals. Whilst it does have some use in the manufacturing of consumer durables and electronic products ranging from alloy compounds in wedding rings to terminals for connecting electrical cables in audio equipment, its greatest use case is as an investment vehicle for the purposes of storing value in a physical commodity.

Over recent years, other precious metals such as platinum and cobalt have suddenly seen their status change from that of a rare mineral resource to a material in high demand as they form components used in electric vehicle batteries and other renewable energy-related hardware such as solar panels.

However, despite the sudden huge demand for these materials for industrial purposes, gold still remains a de facto investable metal whose price movements are often affected by global affairs rather than supply and demand.

In the latter part of this month, gold reached a record high, according to World Gold Council data, and was trading at $2427.30 on May 21.

That soon took an opposite turn, and by May 26, FXOpen pricing showed gold to be trading at well under the $2,400 mark.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

WTI Crude Oil Price Shows Bullish Trend Ahead of OPEC Meeting


As the chart indicates, on Monday, the price of WTI crude oil rose by approximately 1%.

Reuters reports that the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ the upcoming OPEC+ meeting scheduled for 2 June;
→ expectations of high fuel demand with the start of the summer driving season and holiday season in the US.

Conducting a technical analysis of WTI crude oil on 10 May, we drew an ascending channel in blue and suggested a scenario of continued price growth within this channel.

Since then:
→ the price formed a low on 15 May at the level of 76.35, but quickly recovered from it. Thus, the bears' attempt to break the low of 8 May at the level of 76.68 quickly failed. In other words, there was a false breakout of the 8 May low.
→ A similar pattern occurred on 24 May – the price dropped below the 15 May low of 76.35, but quickly recovered.

Two false bearish breakouts are a bullish sign. And the strong behaviour of WTI crude oil prices on Monday confirms this.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2024, 2025 – 2030 and Beyond


Tesla's stock has experienced significant volatility since its IPO in 2010, driven by its significant technological advancements and status as a leading electric vehicle producer. This article explores Tesla's recent price history, analyses its outlook for 2024 and 2025, and provides detailed analytical forecasts for 2026 to 2030 and beyond, offering insights into the company's future performance and potential growth in the EV market.

Tesla’s Recent Price History

Tesla's journey in the stock market has been marked by significant milestones and periods of volatility. Since its initial public offering (IPO) in June 2010, when it debuted at $17 per share, Tesla has seen dramatic price changes driven by key events and developments.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

When the Chips Are Up! NVIDIA's Stratospheric Market Cap


NVIDIA is a veritable Goliath among the highly competitive realms of Silicon Valley's technological mainstays.

Its market capitalisation is now so vast that it is larger than Meta (Facebook), Tesla, Netflix, AMD, Intel, and IBM combined.

That is a remarkable feat when considering that NVIDIA's bread and butter core business activity for many years was not software, it was hardware, and hardware in almost every other area of the computer technology business is almost obsolete as we live in a world of hosting and cloud-based internet services.

NVIDIA's high-quality graphics cards have for many years been the staple ingredient within machines built for specialist purposes such as gaming or professional digital currency mining. However times change and NVIDIA has angled itself firmly toward being the hardware manufacturer to handle AI, boosting its value tremendously.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Slips as USD/CHF Targets Upside Break


EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.0890 resistance. USD/CHF is rising and might aim a move toward the 0.9155 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today

• The Euro struggled to clear the 1.0890 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
• There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.0860 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.9110 resistance zone.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.9130 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.0850 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.0890 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar.

The pair dipped below the 1.0870 level. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.0860. It even tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0805 swing low to the 1.0889 high.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.