斯洛伐克总理罗伯特·菲科中枪，有望生还：目前我们所了解的信息

Array一位政府部长表示，斯洛伐克总理罗伯特·菲科在周三遭遇“出于政治动机”的暗杀企图后，身中五枪，目前已脱离生命危险。
枪手据信是一名 71 岁的作家，目前已被拘留。 袭击中没有其他人受伤。
到目前为止我们所知道的情况如下：
斯洛伐克发生了什么以及何时发生？

菲科周三在一次被政府视为暗杀企图的枪击事件中受伤。总理在离开政府会议并向汉德洛瓦镇的人们致意时遭到五次枪击。
暴力事件发生后，由于需要“紧急干预”，这位59岁的领导人被直升机转移到班斯卡比斯特里察市附近的一家医院。
社交媒体上分享的一段视频显示，菲科在公共广场上接近齐腰高的金属屏障后面的一小群人，突然，一名男子出现并近距离开枪，导致五声枪响。
据当地媒体报道，第一声枪响后，菲科弯下腰，向后倒在长凳上，并补充报道称，他腹部中弹，第二枪击中关节。
保安人员冲过去，把他带到停在几英尺外的一辆黑色奥迪车上。然后他被空运到班斯卡比斯特里察，在那里的一家医疗机构接受了手术。
在枪击现场，安全人员将一名嫌疑人按倒在地。 官员们表示，初步证据表明存在政治动机。据报道，菲科在被送往医院时意识清醒。 嫌疑人身穿淡蓝色衬衫，双手反绑在背后，坐在地上。
副总理托马斯·塔拉巴周三晚间表示，菲科的医院手术“进展顺利”，并补充道：“我想他最终会活下来。”

斯洛伐克总理罗伯特·菲科在会见支持者时遭枪击
斯洛伐克哪里发生了袭击？

据当地电视新闻台 TA3 报道，枪击事件发生在斯洛伐克首都布拉迪斯拉发东北约 190 公里（118 英里）处的汉德洛瓦镇。
他被空运到斯洛伐克中部城市班斯卡比斯特里察的一家医院，位于汉德洛瓦以东 62 公里（39 英里）处。

斯洛伐克总理遭暗杀未遂据斯洛伐克内政部长称，斯洛伐克总理罗伯特·菲科在一场“出于政治动机”的暗杀企图中身受多枪，伤势严重。
谁是这次袭击的幕后黑手？

据美联社援引当地媒体报道称，枪手曾是一家购物中心的保安，是三本诗集的作家，也是斯洛伐克作家协会的会员。
新闻媒体 Aktuality.sk 援引他儿子的话说，他的父亲是枪支许可证的合法持有者。
媒体援引他儿子的话报道称，“我完全不知道我父亲的意图是什么，他计划什么，发生了什么。”
当地媒体报道称，嫌疑人今年 71 岁。

罗伯特·菲科是谁？

菲科 1964 年出生于当时的捷克斯洛伐克，10 月第三次担任斯洛伐克总理。
他承诺终止斯洛伐克对乌克兰的军事援助，并承诺阻碍乌克兰加入北约的愿望，这一立场将推翻斯洛伐克对乌克兰的长期支持。
选举前，菲科公开表达了他的亲克里姆林宫情绪，并将俄罗斯的动员归咎于“乌克兰纳粹和法西斯分子”，呼应了俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京为战争辩护的说法。
他曾于2006年至2010年、2012年至2018年期间担任斯洛伐克总理十多年。
2018年，调查记者简·库恰克遇刺后，他在争议中被迫辞职。库恰克正在调查腐败行为，其中包括与菲科及其政党社会民主党（SMER）直接相关的个人。
在他最近的竞选活动中，他承诺奉行“主权”外交政策，并积极反对 LGBTQ 权利。
菲科还在 20 世纪 90 年代担任了数年政府代理人，在欧洲人权法院和欧洲人权委员会代表斯洛伐克共和国。

斯洛伐克：菲科的回归
背景是什么？

斯洛伐克国防和内政部长罗伯特·卡利纳克表示，这是该国政治氛围中仇恨言论和分裂不断升级的结果。
俄罗斯、欧洲、亚洲研究中心创始人兼主任特蕾莎·法伦表示，这起枪击事件凸显了去年菲科当选后斯洛伐克存在的政治两极分化。法伦告诉半岛电视台说，“我们在整个欧洲也看到了这一点； 许多右翼政党正在壮大。”
此次袭击发生在重要的欧洲议会选举之前，预计民粹主义政党将在这次选举中获胜。此次袭击可能会进一步加剧整个欧洲的政治分裂。
俄罗斯、欧洲、亚洲研究中心的法伦还指出，荷兰民族主义者基尔特·威尔德斯 (Geert  Earnings-price ratioers) 早些时候如何达成协议，组建荷兰数十年来最右翼的政府，她还指出了极右翼的德国另类选择党在德国的受欢迎程度，该党目前拥有20%的选票。
她补充道，“我认为我们在整个欧洲都看到了这种深刻的政治两极分化。”

有何反应？
世界领导人迅速谴责了这次袭击。

总统乔·拜登表示，这是“可怕的暴力行为”，并补充说，他和第一夫人吉尔·拜登“正在祈祷他早日康复，我们的心与他的家人和斯洛伐克人民同在”。
俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京表示，“这种滔天罪行是没有任何理由的。 我知道罗伯特·菲科是一个勇敢而坚强的人。 我非常希望这些品质能够帮助他渡过这次困难的局面。”
欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩表示，她“谴责这种卑鄙的袭击……这种暴力行为在我们的社会中没有立足之地，并破坏了民主，而民主是我们最宝贵的共同利益”。
法国总统马克龙在社交媒体上表示，他对这起袭击事件感到“震惊”。
匈牙利总理维克托·欧尔班谴责这次“令人发指的”袭击。欧尔班表示， “我对我的朋友罗伯特·菲科总理遭受的令人发指的袭击深感震惊。 我们祈祷他健康并早日康复！ 上帝保佑他和他的国家！”
乌克兰总统泽连斯基也谴责了这起袭击事件。
“我们强烈谴责这种针对邻国伙伴国政府首脑的暴力行为。 应尽一切努力确保暴力不会成为任何国家、任何形式或领域的常态。”

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来源 : 半岛电视台

Source: 斯洛伐克总理罗伯特·菲科中枪，有望生还：目前我们所了解的信息

EUR/USD: Weak Inflation = Weak USD


The American currency suffered two significant blows last week. Although these were not knockdowns, let alone knockouts, these minor shocks pushed the DXY Dollar Index down from 105.26 to 104.20 points, and EUR/USD up from 1.0766 to 1.0895.

The first blow came on Tuesday, 14 May, from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Surprisingly, after his comments, the dollar should have strengthened, but instead, it faltered. Powell stated that the regulator's monetary policy is currently tight enough to eventually reduce inflation. However, he also mentioned that the Fed is not confident that inflation is rapidly decreasing and that it may take more time to reach the target level of 2.0%. One could conclude from this that the regulator is not planning to either raise or lower the interest rate.

The dollar's weakening at this moment is even more peculiar because Powell's comments were made against the backdrop of strong data on the US Producer Price Index (PPI), indicating industrial inflation growth. In April, this indicator increased by +0.5% on a monthly basis after falling by -0.1% in March (forecast +0.3%). The core index, excluding food and energy, showed growth from 2.1% to 2.4% (y/y).

We can only explain the dollar's decline in this situation with one reason. Market participants were possibly expecting that the Fed Chairman would at least hint that if inflation rises, they need to consider another rate hike. But since he did not say this, disappointment ensued.

What happened the next day seemed 100% logical. The report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Wednesday, 15 May, showed that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell from 0.4% to 0.3% (m/m) against a forecast of 0.4%. On an annual basis, inflation also dropped from 3.5% to 3.4%. Retail sales showed an even stronger decline, from 0.6% to 0.0% on a monthly basis (forecast 0.4%). These data indicated that although inflation in the country is resisting in some areas, it is generally declining.

As a result, talks about a possible Fed rate cut this year resurfaced. "These are the first weaker CPI data that the central bank [US] needs to lower rates this year," said Jason Pride, Glenmede's Director of Investment Strategy and Analysis. The likelihood that the rate will remain unchanged until the end of 2024 fell from 35% to 25%, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool. As a result, the DXY continued to fall, and the EUR/USD pair rose. Stock markets rallied, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record levels. There were 43 new 52-week highs and no new lows in the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq had 153 highs and 25 lows.

The dollar's weakening was halted by comments from Fed representatives at the end of the week. Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) President Neel Kashkari stated that he is not confident that the current "tight monetary policy is having a dominant effect on inflation, so interest rates need to be maintained." New York FRB President John Williams said that one positive inflation report is not enough to neutralize the negative impact of the previous two, so it's not yet time to expect the Fed to start lowering rates soon.

As for the common European currency, Reuters writes that it is resisting a fall to parity with the dollar (1:1) due to a favourable economic backdrop and the monetary measures of the European Central Bank (ECB). The six-month low for EUR/USD was recorded on 16 April at 1.0600, against the backdrop of the Eurozone's fragile economy and in sharp contrast with the stable US economy. But gradually, business activity in Europe began to recover, and according to the April report, it grew even faster than on the other side of the Atlantic. This contributed to the positive dynamics of the euro. Reuters experts noted that the gap between economic indicators in Europe and the US is narrowing, providing some support to the euro.

EUR/USD closed the week at 1.0868. As for the analysts' forecast for the near future, as of the evening of 17 May, the majority (65%) expect the dollar to strengthen, 20% foresee further weakening, and the remaining 15% took a neutral stance. All trend indicators and oscillators on D1 are 100% coloured green, with a quarter of them signalling that the pair is overbought. The nearest support for the pair is located in the zones of 1.0815-1.0835, then 1.0710-1.0725, 1.0665-1.0680, 1.0600-1.0620, 1.0560, 1.0495-1.0515, 1.0450, 1.0375, 1.0255, 1.0130, 1.0000. Resistance zones are found at 1.0880-1.0915, 1.0965-1.0980, 1.1015, 1.1050, and 1.1100-1.1140.

The schedule of the most important events for next week is as follows. On Tuesday, 21 May, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is scheduled to speak. On Wednesday, 22 May, the publication of the minutes from the last FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting of the US Fed is of particular interest. The next day, as usual, we will learn about the number of initial jobless claims in the US, as well as receive preliminary data on business activity (PPI) in Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States. At the very end of the workweek, on Friday, 24 May, we will learn the GDP data of Germany for Q1 2024.

CRYPTOCURRENCIES: Weak USD = Strong BTC

"A week of reflection and uncertainty": this is how we described the previous review. On Wednesday, 15 May, this uncertainty was resolved in favour of the crypto market. As often happens, the reason for this was the Fed's monetary policy. The released inflation data in the US influenced market expectations regarding a rate cut. As a result, the American currency weakened, the DXY index went down, and investors' risk appetites increased. Stock indices reached historical highs, with the daily gain for BTC/USD exceeding 8%. ETH/USD also rose by 4.5%. However, this is not yet the long-awaited Bull Rally, and it is quite possible that once the situation with the dollar calms down, the growth of bitcoin and leading altcoins will cease. At least, this is the scenario many crypto market specialists predict.

According to Capriole Investment founder Charles Edwards, bitcoin is in a "deathly boring" stage. He believes that the current consolidation period may last from one to six months, during which the quotes will remain in a low-volatility range. This will continue until traders lose patience.

Sentiment will be most negative just before the end of the flat period, Edwards believes. "When you get tired of the sideways movement, common symptoms will include thoughts that the halving is already priced in and the bull market is over. […] Your symptoms and shorts will peak just before the mega-rally," predicts the head of Capriole Investment.

Galaxy Digital head Mike Novogratz also spoke about the consolidation of the crypto market, whose growth dried up three months after the launch of spot BTC-ETFs. In his opinion, until new circumstances or events lead to growth, the first cryptocurrency will trade in the range of $55,000 to $75,000.

Analyst Rekt Capital expressed a similar point of view. He believes that the threat of a bitcoin price drop after the halving has already passed. Drawing an analogy with the situation six years ago, he suggested that on 01 May, BTC hit a bottom around $56,000, and now calm will likely prevail until autumn, with the asset remaining in the accumulation zone. According to Rekt Capital's forecast, the exponential growth phase will begin in the autumn, during which the coin's value will reach new heights.

Bitfinex crypto exchange experts are somewhat more optimistic. They believe that the current lull may last only until the beginning of summer, and in Q3–Q4, growth will return. But everything depends on the actions of the US Fed. Bitfinex notes that the decline of the US currency from a six-month peak after the May meeting of the regulator and a weak employment report became a turning point in the trend. Now, the reduction in inflationary pressure in the US has been added. As a result, the weakening of the US currency could stimulate a rally in digital assets.

Where will this rally lead in the medium and long term? There are many answers to this question. Some predict the complete collapse and oblivion of bitcoin, while others insist on a price of $1 million per coin. Recently, Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Twitter (now X) and head of Block, joined the "millionaires' club" after CMCC Crest co-founder Willy Woo. He also expects bitcoin to surpass the $1 million mark by 2030, after which it will continue to grow, challenging traditional fiat currencies. The entrepreneur noted that a very interesting aspect of digital gold is the nature of its ecosystem and how it stimulates collective efforts to improve the network. "Aside from the founding story, the most amazing thing about bitcoin is that everyone [...] who makes any effort to improve it makes the whole ecosystem better, which drives the price up. This is an incredible movement. [...] It has taught me a lot," he explained.

Businessman, writer, and founder of Edelman Financial Services Ric Edelman believes that traditional international investors will do everything possible to diversify their portfolios. And if they all invest at least 1% of their funds in the first cryptocurrency, the bitcoin market volume will reach an unprecedented $7.4 trillion, and the asset price will soar to $420,000. The growth of the market capitalization will be facilitated by spot BTC-ETFs. According to Edelman, they cover a much broader investor base than traditional assets. "In addition, crypto ETFs are incredibly cheap. They are 20-25% cheaper than assets on Coinbase or other crypto exchanges. Plus, they are held in brokerage accounts. Bitcoin ETFs allow for traditional investment strategies such as rebalancing and dollar-cost averaging. There are also tax advantages," Edelman lists the advantages of such funds. "I am confident that bitcoin and ethereum ETFs will have a significant impact on the market in the long run," he stated.

However, this last assertion can be disputed. While BTC-ETFs are a reality, the situation with ETH-ETFs is not so simple. Many expected the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) to approve applications for the launch of ethereum funds in May. But this has not happened yet. Moreover, Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas and securities lawyer Scott Johnson believe that the chances of approving spot ETH-ETFs are almost zero. In their opinion, the SEC is now considering the possibility of rejecting these funds' launch based on the fact that the applications were submitted with violations, as the fund shares are securities, not exchange-traded commodities.

The question of choosing between bitcoin and ethereum confronts many investors. The roles of these two cryptocurrencies differ, and this can significantly affect their profitability. Bitcoin is increasingly seen as digital gold, providing stability during times of economic uncertainty. This concept is supported by the observed post-halving volatility decrease, which was even lower than that of many companies in the S&P 500 index (Fidelity data).

Ethereum continues to push the boundaries of what is possible through technological innovations, including the recent Dencun update aimed at reducing fees and increasing scalability. However, these changes have once again made the network inflationary, nullifying the deflationary trend established after The Merge in 2022. As a result, ETH's volatility remains higher than BTC's.

According to ChatGPT, the artificial intelligence from OpenAI, the choice between these assets largely depends on individual investment strategy and risk tolerance. Bitcoin is generally better suited for investors seeking a relatively safe store of value and those new to cryptocurrencies. In contrast, Ethereum is better for those who believe in the future of blockchain technology. The main altcoin potentially offers higher rewards but also higher risks.

Investor and Eight founder Michaël van de Poppe has already made his choice. He admitted to selling all his bitcoins to buy altcoins. Van de Poppe believes that many of them are undervalued. And as soon as ETH prices start to rise, other alternative tokens will also go up. The expert believes that the altcoins he has chosen are likely to start growing earlier and faster than the market leader, allowing for greater profit than from investments in digital gold.

At the time of writing this review, the evening of Friday, 17 May, BTC/USD is trading at $66,835, and ETH/USD at $3,095. The total market capitalization of the crypto market is $2.42 trillion ($2.24 trillion a week ago). The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has risen from 66 to 74 points but remains in the Greed zone.


NordFX Analytical Group
 

Notice: These materials are not investment recommendations or guidelines for working in financial markets and are intended for informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets is risky and can result in a complete loss of deposited funds.

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拜登和特朗普的对华贸易战有何不同

JIM TANKERSLEY2024年5月15日拜登总统显然已经决定不撤销前任对中国产品征收的任何关税。 Haiyun Jiang for The New York TimesJoseph R. Biden Jr. ran for the White House as a sharp critic of President Donald J. Trump’s crackdown on trade with China. In office, though, he has taken Mr. Trump’s trade war with Beijing and escalated it, albeit with a very different aim.拜登在竞选总统时曾经尖锐批评特朗普总统打击对华贸易。然而，他自己上任后却将特朗普与北京的贸易战升级，尽管目的非常不同。The two men, locked in a rematch election this fall, share a rhetorical fondness for beating up on China’s economic practices, including accusing the Chinese of cheating at global trade. They also share a building-block policy for countering Beijing: hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs, or taxes, on Chinese imports. Those tariffs were first imposed by Mr. Trump and have been maintained by President Biden.今年秋天，两人将在大选中再次交锋，两人都喜欢在口头上抨击中国的经济行为，包括指责中国在全球贸易中作弊。他们对抗北京的基本政策也是相同的：对中国进口商品征收数千亿美元的关税。这些关税最初由特朗普征收，由拜登总统维持下去。On Tuesday, Mr. Biden will announce that he is increasing some of those tariffs. That includes quadrupling electric vehicle tariffs to 100 percent, tripling certain levies on steel and aluminum products to 25 percent, and doubling the rate on semiconductors to 50 percent.周二，拜登宣布提高其中一些关税。其中包括将电动汽车关税提高三倍，达到100%，将某些钢铁和铝材产品的关税提高两倍，达到25%，将半导体的关税提高一倍，达到50%。But Mr. Biden’s trade war differs from Mr. Trump’s in important ways. Mr. Trump was trying to bring back a broad swath of factory jobs outsourced to China. Mr. Biden is seeking to increase production and jobs in a select group of emerging high-tech industries — including clean energy sectors, like electric vehicles, that Mr. Trump shows little interest in cultivating.但拜登的贸易战在很多重要方面与特朗普不同。特朗普试图把外包给中国的大量工厂工作带回美国。拜登正在寻求增加一些新兴高科技产业的产量和就业机会，其中包括电动汽车等清洁能源领域，而特朗普对培养这些行业兴趣不大。Mr. Biden has pulled more policy levers, some of them created by Mr. Trump. He has imposed more restrictions on trade with China, including limiting sales of American technology to Beijing, while funneling federal subsidies to American manufacturers trying to compete with Chinese production.拜登动用了更多的政策杠杆，其中一些是特朗普创造的。他向对华贸易施加了更多限制，包括限制向北京出售美国技术，同时向试图与中国产品竞争的美国制造商提供联邦补贴。And in a sharp break from Mr. Trump’s go-it-alone posture, Mr. Biden’s strategy relies on bringing international allies together to counter China through a mix of domestic incentives and, potentially, coordinated tariffs on Chinese goods.与特朗普单打独斗的姿态截然不同的是，拜登的战略依赖于将国际盟友联合起来，通过一系列国内激励措施，以及可能对中国商品征收协调一致的关来对抗中国。前总统特朗普承诺，如果他能再次当选，将做出新的努力，切断美国与中国之间的贸易往来。As they compete for the White House again, Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump are both promising to further increase trade pressure on China, which both men accuse of unfair trade practices that disadvantage American workers. Here is how their plans overlap, and where they diverge sharply.再次争夺总统职位的拜登和特朗普都承诺进一步加大对中国的贸易压力，两人都指责中国的不公平贸易做法使美国工人处于不利地位。以下是他们的计划相同的地方，以及截然不同的地方。Mr. Trump’s plan includes more tariffs and less trade.特朗普的计划包括提高关税和减少贸易。Mr. Trump broke decades of political consensus by pushing aggressive restrictions on trade with China as president. He imposed tariffs on more than $360 billion worth of Chinese products, including toys, electronics and household furnishings, drawing retaliatory tariffs from Beijing.特朗普打破了数十年的政治共识，在担任总统期间大力限制对华贸易。他对价值超过3600亿美元的中国产品征收关税，包括玩具、电子产品和家居用品，招来北京的报复性关税。In 2020, he struck an agreement with Chinese officials that called for China to increase its purchases of exported goods from America, including agricultural products, and carry out a series of economic reforms. China came nowhere close to fulfilling those terms. Lael Brainard, the director of Mr. Biden’s National Economic Council, told reporters this week that the deal “did not deliver on its promises.”2020年，他与中国官员达成协议，要求中国增加包括农产品在内的从美国购买的出口商品，并且进行一系列经济改革。中国远未履行这些条款。拜登的国家经济委员会主任莱尔·布雷纳德本周告诉记者，该协议“没有兑现承诺”。Mr. Trump has pledged new efforts to sever the nations’ trading relationship if he is elected to a second term. Those include barriers to investment between the two countries, along with bans on imports of Chinese steel, electronics and pharmaceuticals. He has also proposed an additional 10 percent tariff on all imports to the United States, not just those from China. And he has criticized Mr. Biden.特朗普承诺，如果他再次当选，将采取新的措施切断两国的贸易关系。其中包括两国之间的投资壁垒，以及禁止进口中国钢铁、电子产品和药品。他提议对所有进口到美国的商品追加10%的关税，而不仅仅是来自中国的商品。他还批评了拜登。Chinese officials were “petrified of me putting on additional tariffs,” Mr. Trump told CNBC in March. “And we don’t use that, China is right now our boss. They are the boss of the United States, almost like we’re a subsidiary of China, and that’s because the Biden administration has been so weak.”中国官员“非常害怕我征收更多关税，”特朗普今年3月对CNBC表示。“我们没有利用这个，中国现在是我们的老板。他们是美国的老板，简直就像我们是中国的子公司，这是因为拜登政府太软了。”Mr. Biden is building on his predecessor’s efforts.拜登是在前任的基础上继续努力。Mr. Biden was once a critic of Mr. Trump’s tariffs. “President Trump may think he’s being tough on China,” Mr. Biden said in a 2019 speech, as a candidate for president, “but all he has delivered is more pain for American farmers, manufacturers and consumers.”拜登曾批评过特朗普的关税政策。“特朗普总统可能认为他对中国很强硬，”拜登在2019年作为总统候选人的演讲中说，“但他的作为只是给美国农民、制造商和消费者带来更多痛苦。”Early in Mr. Biden’s administration, his aides debated rolling back many of Mr. Trump’s taxes on Chinese imports to ease the pain of rapid price increases. They ultimately decided against it. Instead, Mr. Biden will announce on Tuesday that he is increasing tariffs on about $18 billion worth of Chinese imports, including solar cells, ship-to-shore cranes and certain medical technologies.在拜登执政之初，他的助手们曾进行讨论，取消特朗普对中国进口商品征收的许多关税，以缓解物价快速上涨带来的痛苦。他们最终决定不取消。相反，拜登在周二宣布，提高价值约180亿美元中国进口商品的关税，其中包括太阳能电池、船到岸起重机和某些医疗技术。His administration has also imposed new restrictions on exports of American semiconductors and chip-making materials to China, and it has taken the first step to cracking down on imported Chinese smart-car technologies.他的政府还对美国半导体和芯片制造材料向中国的出口施加了新的限制，并迈出了打击进口中国智能汽车技术的第一步。Administration officials offer economic rationale for all of those moves. But Mr. Biden is also responding to swing-state political pressures — and seeking to outflank Mr. Trump on the China issue. Last month, he called for higher taxes on Chinese heavy metal imports in a speech to steelworkers in Pennsylvania, a crucial state where polls show he is struggling to overcome voter anxiety about the economy.政府官员为所有这些举措提供了经济依据。但拜登也在回应摇摆州的政治压力，并试图在中国问题上包抄特朗普。上个月，他在宾夕法尼亚州对钢铁工人发表演讲时呼吁对中国进口重金属征收更高的税。民调显示，他很难克服选民对经济的焦虑。And while Biden aides say his tariff approach is more targeted — and, by extension, more effective — than Mr. Trump’s, the president has notably decided not to roll back any of the original tariffs that Mr. Trump imposed on Chinese products.虽然拜登的助手们表示，拜登的关税政策比特朗普的更具针对性，也更有效，但总统显然已经决定不取消特朗普最初对中国产品征收的任何关税。A greener war, with allies this time.一场更绿色的战争，这次有盟友。Mr. Biden has tailored his policy, though. He has consciously coupled new restrictions on China trade with the strategic investments, in the form of government spending and tax credits, that he has used to entice new factory production in a handful of targeted sectors.不过，拜登已经调整了自己的政策。他有意识地将对中国贸易的新限制与战略投资（以政府支出和税收抵免的形式）结合起来，利用这些战略投资在少数目标行业吸引新的工厂进行生产。Perhaps no product better exemplifies the divergence between Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump on trade policy than electric vehicles. Mr. Trump sees them as a scourge, and has said efforts to accelerate their adoption will result in an “assassination” of American jobs.也许没有什么产品比电动汽车更能体现拜登和特朗普在贸易政策上的分歧。特朗普视电动汽车为洪水猛兽，并表示，加速采用电动汽车的努力将导致美国就业机会的“毁灭”。Mr. Biden has signed multiple laws meant to supercharge electric vehicle production and consumption in the United States, including an infrastructure bill with funding for 500,000 charging stations and a climate law with lucrative incentives to make and sell the vehicles in the United States. They are part of an ambitious industrial strategy to build up American factory capacity for a host of clean energy technologies meant to fight climate change and to dominate advanced manufacturing industries globally for decades to come.拜登已经签署了多项旨在推动美国电动汽车生产和消费的法律，其中包括一项为50万个充电站提供资金的基础设施法案，以及一项为在美国生产和销售电动汽车提供丰厚激励的气候法。它们属于一项雄心勃勃的工业战略，旨在提高美国工厂生产一系列清洁能源技术的能力，以应对气候变化，并在未来几十年里主导全球先进制造业。Mr. Biden is increasingly worried that a flood of low-cost electric cars and other goods from China could undermine those efforts, and he is using trade policy to protect his industrial investments. His tariff increases planned for Tuesday include a quadrupling of the rate on imported electric vehicles, to 100 percent.拜登越来越担心，大量涌入的中国低成本电动汽车和其他商品可能会破坏这些努力，他正在利用贸易政策来保护自己的工业投资。他计划于周二提高关税，其中包括将进口电动汽车的关税提高三倍，达到100%。And while Mr. Biden antagonized allies by imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum from Japan, the European Union and elsewhere, the president has sought to bring together a coalition of wealthy democracies to battle China in clean energy. His administration led an effort at the Group of 7 summit last year to outline a harmonized strategy of subsidies to compete with China’s state funding for new technologies.虽然拜登对来自日本、欧盟和其他地方的钢铝征收关税引起了盟友的反感，但总统一直在寻求召集一个富裕民主国家的联盟，在清洁能源领域与中国对抗。在去年的七国集团峰会上，政府牵头制定了一项协调一致的补贴战略，同中国政府为新技术提供的资金竞争。Many current and former administration officials hope that cooperation will now extend to tariffs as well, starting with Europe, which is conducting its own investigations of Chinese trade practices and appears poised to raise its existing tax rate on imported Chinese electric vehicles.许多现任和前任政府官员希望，与盟友的合作现在也能扩展到关税领域，首先是欧洲。欧洲正在对中国的贸易行为进行自己的调查，似乎准备提高对中国进口电动汽车的现有关税。Jim Tankersley撰写关于白宫经济政策及其如何影响美国和世界的新闻。他在华盛顿报道该领域已有十多年时间，重点关注中产议题。点击查看更多关于他的信息。翻译：纽约时报中文网点击查看本文英文版。  https://feedx.run

Source: 拜登和特朗普的对华贸易战有何不同

Dù Việt Nam sắp có vaccine sốt xuất huyết, người dân không nên chủ quan


Vaccine ngừa sốt xuất huyết do Takeda sản xuất được Bộ Y tế cấp phép lưu hành tại Việt Nam từ ngày 15.5. Đây là vaccine ngừa sốt xuất huyết đầu tiên được lưu hành tại Việt Nam. Dự kiến vaccine này sẽ có mặt tại một số trung tâm tiêm chủng trong nước bắt đầu từ tháng 9.2024. Mặc dù sắp có vaccine nhưng người dân không nên chủ quan với sốt xuất huyết.

Sốt xuất huyết là bệnh truyền nhiễm cấp tính có thể bùng phát thành dịch do virus Dengue gây ra. Bệnh lây lan do muỗi vằn đốt bệnh nhân đã nhiễm virus rồi truyền sang cho người bình thường. Bệnh có 3 giai đoạn chính: sốt, nguy hiểm và phục hồi. Ở giai đoạn sốt (3-7 ngày), bệnh thường khó phân biệt với một số bệnh nhiễm trùng khác. Tuy nhiên, giai đoạn tiếp theo, bệnh có thể có diễn biến đột ngột gây ra nhiều biến chứng đặc biệt nguy hiểm, thậm chí tử vong, thời gian phục hồi lâu. Do đó, có thể nói, việc bùng nổ số ca mắc sốt xuất huyết sẽ là một gánh nặng và thách thức lớn đối với ngành y tế và xã hội.

TS Hoàng Minh Đức - Cục trưởng Cục Y tế dự phòng, Bộ Y tế thông tin, Việt Nam lưu hành cả 4 tuýp virus Dengue, tuy vậy trong năm 2023 tuýp D2 chiếm 88,7%; năm 2024 tuýp D2 chiếm 70,7%.

Phân bố theo thời gian trong năm cho thấy, trường hợp mắc sốt xuất huyết thường tăng cao từ tuần 26 đến tuần 47 (từ tháng 7 đến tháng 11).

Sốt xuất huyết không còn là bệnh phát triển theo chu kỳ mà năm nào cũng có số mắc cao do biến đổi khí hậu, môi trường và đặc điểm dân cư. Do đó, đây là bệnh phải tập trung phòng, chống số một.

Về giải pháp phòng chống sốt xuất huyết, theo TS Đức cần tiếp tục loại bỏ bọ gậy, tiêu diệt muỗi trưởng thành khi có ổ dịch nhỏ; Khoanh vùng, cách ly điều trị bệnh nhân, nhất là diệt véc tơ.

Cùng đó xây dựng đội ngũ cán bộ tình nguyện tuyên truyền hướng dẫn dân loại bỏ dụng cụ chứa nước; Tổ chức chiến dịch vệ sinh môi trường, tổ chức phun diệt muỗi tại các ổ dịch, trong cơ sở y tế điều trị.

Liên quan đến muỗi đốt dẫn đến mắc sốt xuất huyết, nhiều người lo ngại nhóm máu O bị muỗi đốt nhiều hơn những người khác. Tuy nhiên, TS Nguyễn Văn Dũng, Trưởng khoa Côn trùng, Viện Sốt rét - Ký sinh trùng - Côn trùng Trung ương, cho biết có rất nhiều thông tin cho rằng người nhóm máu O hoặc "thịt thơm" bị muỗi đốt nhiều hơn. Thông tin này là không có cơ sở khoa học chứng minh.

Lý giải về việc có người bị muỗi đốt nhiều hơn, TS Dũng cho rằng người bị muỗi đốt nhiều hơn có liên quan tới việc cơ thể tiết ra pheromone (chất dẫn dụ) thu hút muỗi. Cơ thể của một số người tiết ra một chất pheromone hấp dẫn cảm thụ muỗi cho nên người này thường bị muỗi đốt nhiều.

Cũng theo TS Dũng, bản thân muỗi cũng tiết ra pheromone để thu hút bạn tình. Trong tự nhiên, muỗi đực thường tiết ra pheromone để thu hút bạn tình (muỗi cái) đến giao phối. Nếu chúng ta quan sát vào buổi sáng hoặc chiều tối, chúng ta sẽ thấy những đoàn muỗi thường bay thành vòng tròn, đó chính là muỗi đực. Muỗi đực vừa bay vừa tiết ra pheromone để thu hút muỗi cái.

Để phòng chống triệt để sốt xuất huyết, điều quan trọng nhất là người dân cần loại trừ nơi sinh sống của bọ gậy: Vệ sinh môi trường trong và xung quanh nhà, lật úp các dụng cụ không cần thiết để tránh nước đọng vô tình thành ổ đẻ cho muỗi.

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Source: Dù Việt Nam sắp có vaccine sốt xuất huyết, người dân không nên chủ quan

The Price of Silver Has Reached Its Highest Level in Over Three Years


As indicated by the XAG/USD chart today, the intraday price of silver reached $29.84 per ounce yesterday, while the previous yearly high on 12 April was $29.79. The last time this price was seen was in February 2021.

It is worth noting that today the price of silver is behaving more bullishly than the price of gold, which is approximately 1.5% below its April high.

The main factor contributing to the rise in the price of silver is likely the weakening of the US dollar, as traders expect the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy.

Can the price of silver continue to rise? Analysts are generally bullish. As CNBC reports:
→ Saxo Bank strategists recently stated in an analytical review that the price of silver could rise to $30, while gold could soon test the $2,400 level.
→ Analysts at ROTH Capital Partners forecast that the prices of gold and silver will rise even higher in the coming months. According to JC O'Hara, Chief Market Technician, if the price breaks the $30 level, "there will be few resistance levels until the $35/$37 range."

Let’s provide more data for a technical analysis of the silver market.


TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.