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Author Topic: 外汇 - 美元标志着时间,澳元缓解中国数据错失  (Read 1568 times)

Ť汇信

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悉尼,4月30日(路透社) - 由于中国制造业令人失望的数据缓和了全球经济增长快速反弹的希望,周二美元在亚洲假日疲软的情况下维持窄幅走势。

中国的官方采购管理指数(PMI)在4月份下滑至50.1,当时投机者已经下调50.5的稳定结果或甚至有所改善。服务措施也令人失望,回落至54.3。

财政部采购经理人指数在3月份从50.8升至50.2后,私营部门的调查结果并不好。

尽管如此,影响仍然有限,部分原因是投资者认为这一数字将鼓励北京继续采取刺激措施。

“这些结果仍然远高于过去六个月的平均水平,并不一定会破坏'经济稳定'的叙述,”加拿大皇家银行资本市场亚洲新兴市场外汇策略负责人Sue Trinh表示。

“尽管如此,这些数据仍然与进一步的政策支持相一致,推测目标存款准备金率(准备金要求)削减和管道结构改革。”

鉴于澳大利亚是该亚洲巨头的主要资源出口国,澳元兑美元遭受的损失最大,因为它经常被用作中国股票的流动代理。 PMI释放后,该货币从0.7064美元回落至0.7045美元,但很快稳定下来。

避险货币日元升值,澳元下跌0.4%至78.59,而美元兑日元下跌0.1%至111.50。

对一篮子货币而言,美元汇率下跌至97.813,但与上周的23个月高点98.330相差不远。本月仍然高出0.5%。

日本度假时交易疲软,周三中国和欧洲大部分地区将会减产。

短期欧元,长期美元

由于投资者等待会议后期公布的欧元区经济增长数据,欧元几乎没有移动至1.1187美元。

预测第一季度将温和上涨0.3%,尽管仍将比上一季度更快,可能被视为稳定的迹象。

即使是这种暂时的增长也可能会挤压那些已经积累了大量欧元空头头寸的投机者,在截至4月23日的一周里价值净值148亿美元。

美元的主要障碍仍然是美联储为期两天的政策会议,会议将于周三结束,主席杰罗姆鲍威尔将发表声明和新闻发布会。

预计政策不会发生变化,但市场热衷于听取鲍威尔如何解决稳健的经济增长与通胀放缓之间的分歧。

隔夜美国数据显示,消费者支出在3月份的9-1 / 2年内反弹幅度最大,但核心通胀仍然放缓至14个月低点。

美联储最受欢迎的通胀指标 - 核心个人消费支出指数放缓至1.6%,远离央行2%的目标。

澳新银行经济学家费利西蒂·艾美特表示,“核心通胀的持续加速仍难以实现,并导致低通胀预期。” “这不仅仅是联邦公开市场委员会面临的一个问题,对其他主要央行来说,这是一个真正令人担忧的问题。”

“我们预计中央银行的温和基调将在可预见的未来持续,”她补充道。 “鉴于增长复苏的证据,这对风险资产非常有利。” (Wayne Cole的报道; Kim Coghill和Sam Holmes的编辑)



 

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