Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

Relative Strength Index (RSI): Trading Strategies, Settings, and Market Applications


RSI is a popular momentum indicator in technical trading across forex, stock, and cryptocurrency* markets. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator developed by J. Welles  Earnings-price ratioer that measures the speed of price movements on a 0–100 scale. Traders use it to detect overbought/oversold conditions, trend strength, pullbacks, and exhaustion.

Although often viewed as a basic oscillator, the RSI plays a more nuanced role in professional trading strategies, particularly when combined with trend and volatility indicators. Understanding how the RSI behaves in different market environments may help traders refine entries, implement risk management strategies, and confirm trade setups.

In this article, we will consider how the RSI indicator works, how it is calculated, and how it can be applied in practical trading strategies across multiple asset classes.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Why IBM Shares Plunged by More Than 13%


Yesterday, shares in IBM Corporation opened above $254 but closed below $224. By some estimates, this marked the company's largest single-day decline in the past 25 years. Since the start of February, the stock has fallen by roughly 27%, its worst monthly performance since 1968.

Why Did IBM's Share Price Drop?
The main trigger was an announcement by Anthropic about the launch of a new AI tool, Claude Code, designed to modernise legacy COBOL code.

This is particularly significant for IBM, as much of "Big Blue's" business is tied to mainframes processing transactions for banks and government institutions in COBOL. Traditionally, upgrading such systems required "armies of consultants" and multi-billion-dollar budgets.

The new AI solution promises to automate this process, making it faster and more cost-effective. This not only poses a direct threat to IBM's services and support revenues, but also reignites concerns that AI could reshape the entire technology sector, rendering established business models less sustainable.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Analysis of AUD/USD Ahead of Key Data Release


As the AUD/USD chart shows, the Australian dollar posted strong performance in January and February. Since the start of the year, the "Aussie" has gained nearly 6% against the US dollar.

Among the bullish drivers:

→ The policy stance of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which raised its cash rate to 3.85% in February 2026, while many other central banks are considering rate cuts.

→ A resilient labour market. Australia's unemployment rate remains at 4.1%, giving the RBA room to keep interest rates elevated.

→ Commodity markets. High prices for gold, iron ore and energy exports continue to support Australia's trade balance.

However, an important CPI report is due tomorrow. Inflation data could inject additional volatility into the market and test the strength of the Australian dollar.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Analysts' Tesla (TSLA) Price Predictions for 2026-2030 and Beyond


Tesla (TSLA) is one of the most closely watched growth stocks in the market. Analysts predict the stock could trade between $330 and $600 by the end of 2026, driven by its electric vehicle leadership and AI ambitions. Investors looking for a Tesla stock forecast for 2026–2030 are trying to assess whether the company's AI ambitions and EV leadership can sustain long-term share price growth. While Tesla's share price has experienced significant volatility, the company's investments in artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and energy storage continue to shape its long-term growth narrative.

In this article, we break down analysts' Tesla price forecasts for 2026 to 2030, discuss key factors that are expected to influence the TSLA stock price direction, and go through the stock price history.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Euro Consolidates After the Impulse: Market Awaits Macro Data


The euro has moved into a phase of correction and consolidation ahead of key macroeconomic releases. In EUR/USD, a technical pullback is unfolding following the previous decline, while EUR/CAD continues a more extended corrective move within its medium-term structure. Market activity is easing as traders await important data from the euro area, the United States and Canada, which could determine the next directional move.

In the euro area, the focus is on Germany's GDP figures, the GfK consumer climate index and business activity indicators. These releases will help assess the resilience of the region's largest economy amid a slowdown in the manufacturing sector. Weak data would increase pressure on the euro, while more solid readings could support attempts at stabilisation.

In the United States, investors are monitoring developments in the mortgage market, upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials and oil inventory data. Trade policy also remains a source of uncertainty. President Donald Trump announced the introduction of a temporary global tariff of 10% for 150 days, with the administration not ruling out a further increase to 15%. The postponement of harsher measures has slightly eased tensions, yet ongoing trade risks continue to influence currency markets, including the euro and commodity-linked currencies.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

The Dollar Index (DXY) May Close February Higher
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The second half of February has seen the dollar index strengthen, driven by a combination of bullish factors:

→ A hawkish Fed stance. Minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed differing views on rate cuts. With inflation remaining resilient, some members even left the door open to further tightening.

→ Rising tensions between the US and Iran, along with uncertainty surrounding trade tariffs, have boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.

→ Recent data pointing to solid industrial output and labour market resilience have reinforced confidence in the strength of the US economy.

As a result, an upward trend line (shown in blue) has formed on the DXY chart, increasing the likelihood that the index will finish February in positive territory after three consecutive months of decline.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

AMD Shares Surge After High-Profile Deal With Meta Platforms


Yesterday, it was reported that Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has expanded its collaboration with Meta Platforms. The companies struck an agreement under which:

→ Meta will purchase AMD equipment with a total capacity of 6 gigawatts for its AI infrastructure. Deliveries are scheduled to begin in the second half of 2026.

→ AMD's portfolio could include around 160 million META shares, representing roughly 10% of the company.

The market interpreted the news as a signal that AMD is successfully establishing itself as the second major chip supplier to tech giants, challenging Nvidia's monopoly (incidentally, the market leader is due to release its quarterly report today).

Following yesterday's trading, AMD shares jumped more than 8%, closing near the highs on rising volume—a bullish sign. This partially offset the decline seen after the early-February earnings report, which was influenced by falling margins, supply chain issues, concerns over deliveries to China, and other factors.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/JPY and USD/CAD at Key Levels Awaiting News Catalysts


The dollar is trading mixed against the major currencies as investors await important macroeconomic releases and foreign policy signals. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data, as well as potential statements following contacts between Washington and Beijing. The trade negotiations factor and the prospect of a meeting between Donald Trump and the Chinese leader remain in focus, as any signs of progress or escalation could influence demand for safe-haven assets and the dollar's trajectory.

Upcoming macroeconomic releases and developments in the US–China trade agenda will be decisive: either the dollar maintains its advantage and continues to strengthen, or the market shifts into a deeper correction from current levels.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/JPY Pulls Back After a Period of Gains


As the USD/JPY chart shows, the pair posted solid bullish momentum in the second half of February. This move was driven by a combination of fundamental factors, including:

→ The appointment of two academics to the central bank's board, both regarded as strong advocates of economic stimulus through a weaker yen and accommodative lending conditions.

→ Concerns over further interest rate hikes, voiced by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi during a meeting with Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.

Expectations of a softer yen led to renewed weakness in the currency (A→B), forming the upward trajectory highlighted in purple.

However, on Wednesday the pair retreated, which appears to be an interim pullback from point B. Technical analysis of the USD/JPY chart suggests that extending the move along the purple trajectory may prove challenging.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Surpass $200 in After-Hours Trading Following Earnings Report


Yesterday, the world's most valuable company, Nvidia, released its quarterly earnings, which exceeded expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.62 (forecast = $1.53);
→ Revenue: actual = $68.13 billion (forecast = $66.13 billion).

Sentiment was further supported by the chipmaker's guidance for first-quarter revenue above market estimates, reflecting continued heavy spending by major technology companies on artificial intelligence processors.

As the Nvidia (NVDA) share price chart shows, the stock rose above the psychological $200 level in after-hours trading, but subsequently pulled back, which may point to excessive optimism and aggressive selling pressure.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.