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Author Topic: Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen  (Read 28276 times)

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Reply #525 on: April 16, 2025, 10:40:39 AM
Inflation in the UK Has Fallen


According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%.

Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months.

On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May.

On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #526 on: April 16, 2025, 10:53:36 AM
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets Higher While EUR/GBP Slips


GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.3220 resistance. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8500 region.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

  • The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3220.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3245 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8630 pivot level.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8570 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2850 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.3000 zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3150. The pair even climbed above 1.3200 and traded as high as 1.3263. It is now consolidating gains and trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #527 on: April 17, 2025, 10:48:22 AM
How to Trade with Hybrid Strategies


In today's intricate financial landscape, traders have an array of strategies at their disposal. This article delves into the core methods—technical, fundamental, and algorithmic/quantitative analysis—and introduces the concept of hybrid strategies. Learn how combining these techniques can offer a balanced approach to trading, enhancing decision-making and risk mitigation.

Creating Hybrid Trading Strategies

In the world of trading, there are primarily two schools of thought: fundamental analysis (FA) and technical analysis (TA). Fundamental analysis delves deep into economic indicators such as GDP, inflation rates, and earnings reports, aiming to assess an asset's intrinsic value.

On the other hand, technical analysis focuses on studying past price movements and trading volumes, often through charts, to predict future activity. You can find all the charts and tools necessary for technical trading strategies over in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform.

While both approaches have their merits, a growing number of traders are blending these methodologies to create what are known as hybrid strategies.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #528 on: April 17, 2025, 10:51:47 AM
Chipmaker Stocks Declines


According to the charts, semiconductor stocks underperformed the broader equity market yesterday. While the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by around 2.2%, the drop was far steeper across the chip sector:

→ The bullish semiconductor ETF (SOXL) declined by 15%;
→ Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell by 6.9%;
→ Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped by 7.3%.

In other words, chipmaker stocks dragged down the broader market, raising concerns ahead of the upcoming earnings season.

Why Are Chip Stocks Falling?

The decline stems from corporate assessments of how the escalating global trade war and new tariffs could impact future performance.

According to media reports:
→ AMD expects to face tariffs of up to $800 million on exports to China;
→ For Nvidia, similar levies could exceed $5 billion.
Technical Analysis – Nvidia (NVDA)

The price continues to fluctuate within a downward channel, previously identified in our analysis:



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #529 on: April 17, 2025, 11:00:19 AM
Gold Price Surpasses $3,300 for the First Time in History


Just six days ago, we highlighted the historic breakthrough of the $3,200 level for the first time. Now, as the XAU/USD chart shows today, the price of an ounce of gold on global exchanges is fluctuating above $3,300.

Bullish sentiment is being driven by a weakening US dollar and rising trade tensions between the United States and China, which are boosting gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. In response to these developments, Goldman Sachs analysts have raised their year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700.

However, technical analysis is beginning to flash some bearish signals.

Technical Analysis of XAU/USD

Using the latest data, we have drawn an ascending channel on the hourly chart that more accurately reflects price action since 8 April. Initially, the price moved within a narrow range, but after breaking the S-line, it found support (indicated by an arrow) at the lower boundary of the channel.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #530 on: April 17, 2025, 01:23:17 PM
The Pound and Euro Reach New Yearly Highs


Despite global economic instability and Donald Trump’s tariff policy, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs are demonstrating upward momentum, reaching new yearly highs.

Today, market participants are focused on the European Central Bank meeting, where significant statements regarding monetary policy are expected. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the impact of the tariff policy on the US economy, which added volatility to the currency markets. These events could significantly influence the further movement of major currency pairs, setting a new trajectory for their quotes.

EUR/USD

Following sharp growth last week, EUR/USD has entered a sideways phase between 1.1480–1.1260. If the 1.1260–1.1240 levels continue to act as support, the pair may accumulate potential to resume its upward movement towards the 1.1700–1.1600 range. If 1.1240 is broken to the downside, the downward correction may intensify towards 1.1100–1.1000.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #531 on: April 18, 2025, 10:22:43 AM
Ultra-Fast Scalping Strategies in Forex


Scalping is a high-speed trading strategy that targets quick profits from small price movements. It's a method that appeals to those who want a hands-on, immediate trading experience. This article delves into three of the best 1-minute scalping strategies: Heikin-Ashi Pullback, RSI Extremes, and Stochastic Oscillator Quick Signal, explaining their nuances and applications in a trading environment.

What Is Scalping?

Scalping is a trading strategy focused on capturing small price movements in financial markets. Traders employing this tactic aim to gain several pips – tiny increments in price – from each trade, often executing dozens or even hundreds of trades in a single day. Due to the high frequency of trades, transaction costs and speed are significant considerations.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #532 on: April 18, 2025, 11:01:38 AM
Stock Markets Consolidate Ahead of the Holidays


A lull is expected on the financial markets today due to a shortened trading week related to the Easter holiday celebrations.

It is reasonable to assume that traders will get a “breather” after a news-heavy April, which caused a volatile “shakeout” in the stock markets.

US Stock Markets

On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was both cautious and somewhat aggressive in his forecasts regarding US monetary policy, stating that Trump’s tariffs could delay the achievement of inflation targets.

In response, US President Donald Trump accused Powell of “playing politics”, hinting at his possible dismissal.

European Stock Markets

On Thursday, the ECB cut interest rates for the seventh time in the past 12 months, and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde left the door open for further easing.

Analysts had expected a rate cut from 2.65% to 2.40%, so the financial markets reacted relatively calmly to the ECB’s decision.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen)

On the charts of European and US stock indices today, a narrowing triangle pattern is forming, indicating a balance between supply and demand — in other words, price is more efficiently factoring in all influencing elements.



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Reply #533 on: April 18, 2025, 11:35:53 AM
UnitedHealth (UNH) Share Price Plummets


UnitedHealth shares crashed by nearly 23% yesterday after the healthcare giant reported weaker-than-expected Q1 2025 results:

→ Earnings per share: actual = $7.20, expected = $7.29
→ Revenue: actual = $109.5bn, expected = $111.5bn

Technical Analysis of UNH Share Chart

As far back as a year ago, we highlighted key support around the $450 level. Yesterday’s negative news caused this support to once again demonstrate its strength by holding back further decline — but will it hold?



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #534 on: April 21, 2025, 06:38:20 AM
Market Analysis Techniques for Traders


Navigating the financial markets demands a strong toolkit of analysis techniques. This comprehensive article introduces traders to key market analysis methods, ranging from fundamental and technical analysis to more specialised approaches like price action and quantitative methods.

You can pair your learning with FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to gain the deepest understanding of these techniques. There, you will find the price charts, drawing tools, and indicators necessary for many of these market analysis methods.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #535 on: April 21, 2025, 07:17:13 AM
Market Analysis: Gold Extends Record Run, WTI Crude Oil Rebound in Tandem


Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,250 resistance level. WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $60.00 and might extend gains.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

  • Gold price started a fresh surge and traded to a new record high at $3,384 against the US Dollar.
  • A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,322 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
  • WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave above the $60.00 and $61.50 resistance levels.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,200 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,250 and $3,280 resistance levels.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,350. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,380 resistance zone. A new record high was formed near $3,384 and the price is now consolidating gains.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #536 on: April 21, 2025, 09:53:45 AM
Coca-Cola Company (KO) Shares Trade Near All-Time High


Stock market charts indicate that from the start of last week’s trading through to its close:

→ The S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) declined by approximately 3%;
→ Pepsico (PEP) shares dropped by more than 1%;
→ Coca-Cola Company (KO) shares rose by around 2.4%.

Why Aren’t Coca-Cola Shares Falling?

The relatively strong performance of Coca-Cola (KO) shares compared to the broader market and its main competitor may be attributed to the fact that Coca-Cola operates a concentrate production facility in Atlanta, USA. In contrast, Pepsico’s equivalent production is based in Ireland. This gives Coca-Cola a potential advantage under the tariff policies pursued by the Trump administration.

Incidentally, according to media reports, Diet Coke is the favourite drink of the US President.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.



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Reply #537 on: April 22, 2025, 08:30:37 AM
Unveiling Market Sentiment in Trading


Understanding the market's pulse can offer traders a significant edge. The market is driven by human psychology, and by grasping the prevailing mood, traders can position themselves more effectively.

This article will delve into various methods and indicators that offer insights into market sentiment analysis trading, from media scanning and expert opinions to economic and market-specific indicators.

What Is Market Sentiment?

Market sentiment refers to the prevailing mood or emotional tone that traders and investors exhibit toward a specific financial asset or the market as a whole. It serves as a qualitative measure that captures collective attitudes toward market conditions — optimistic, pessimistic, or neutral.

This sentiment is often influenced by various factors such as economic indicators, news, and trader psychology. Understanding market sentiment is crucial because it can help anticipate market trends, offering insights that purely quantitative indicators sometimes overlook.

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Reply #538 on: April 22, 2025, 08:38:27 AM
USD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per Dollar Today


As shown on the USD/JPY chart today, the exchange rate between the US dollar and Japanese yen has fallen below 140 yen per dollar – marking the first time this has occurred in 2025. Since the beginning of the year, the rate has dropped by approximately 11%.

Among the main driving factors is the White House's tariff policy, which has triggered a sell-off in US government bonds and a weakening of the dollar. One of the more recent developments includes the release of the Consumer Price Index report by the Bank of Japan, which revealed that the CPI remained steady at 2.2%, despite analysts (according to ForexFactory) forecasting a rise to 2.4%.

It’s possible that, due to the lack of inflationary pressure in Japan, the yen is in a relatively stronger position compared to the US currency, where concerns persist that trade wars and Trump’s push for lower interest rates may lead to a spike in inflation and a devaluation of the dollar.



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Reply #539 on: April 22, 2025, 10:14:39 AM
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report


On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.

Why Is TSLA Falling?

There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):

→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.

→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.

→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.

According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.



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