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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Started by FXOpen Trader, October 19, 2023, 05:24:59 PM

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FXOpen Trader

The Quasimodo Pattern: Definition and Trading Approach


The Quasimodo (QM) pattern is a lesser-known formation that closely resembles the classic Head and Shoulders. While many traders overlook it—or even mistake it for its more popular counterpart—the Quasimodo offers valuable insights for spotting potential reversals. In this article, we explore the definition of the Quasimodo, its mechanics, and trading rules.

What Is Quasimodo (QM) in Forex?
The Quasimodo is a reversal chart pattern forming at the end of a solid trend. It can be spotted on any timeframe of any asset. It means you can find a Quasimodo on forex, stock, and commodity charts. This pattern can be bearish and bullish.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Is It Possible to Find a Best Time to Trade Forex in the UK?


Understanding forex trading hours is important. Operating continuously from Sunday evening to Friday night, the forex market spans different time zones and isn't tied to a single exchange.

For those based in the UK, recognising the most active forex market trading times might impact results. In this article, we explain the main sessions and explore the forex market hours that may be more attractive for UK traders.

Understanding Forex Market Hours
Understanding currency exchange market hours may be important if you are involved in the global foreign exchange market. Although you may already know this, let us remind you.

The forex market operates on a 24/5 basis, opening during weekdays and closing at weekends. This round-the-clock trading is possible because it's not tied to a physical location; instead, it relies on a decentralised network of banks, businesses, and individuals exchanging currencies across different time zones.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Euro and Pound Under Pressure as Markets Focus on Upcoming Data


The euro has resumed its decline amid political uncertainty in France, while the pound remains under pressure, following the broader weakness in European currencies. On Monday, the euro fell to its lowest level in more than a week after the surprise resignation of French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, which deepened the country's political crisis and fuelled bearish sentiment in the options market. The risk reversal indicator — a closely watched gauge of market sentiment — has turned negative, suggesting traders are bracing for further losses. With US trading subdued by the ongoing government shutdown, investor focus has shifted to European developments. In the coming sessions, attention will centre on macroeconomic releases from the eurozone and the United Kingdom, which could set the short-term direction for EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

EUR/USD

After testing and sharply rebounding from 1.1780, EUR/USD buyers lost upward momentum, allowing the price to settle below 1.1700. Yesterday, the pair hit a new September low at 1.1600 but recovered above that level following the release of the FOMC minutes. A firm move below yesterday's low could pave the way for further declines towards 1.1530–1.1570, while a sustained rise above 1.1700 may revive bullish momentum and lead to a retest of recent highs near 1.1760–1.1780.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Dollar Index (DXY) Rises to Highest Level in Over Two Months


The chart shows the Dollar Index (DXY) trading above the 99-point level today — its highest since early August. The dollar's strength is supported by the weakening of other currencies:

→ The yen is weakening amid expectations of looser monetary policy. Conservative Sanae Takaichi could become the first female prime minister in Japan's history, pursuing substantial spending and economic stimulus.

→ The euro remains under pressure amid France's political crisis. Following the resignation of Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's government, President Emmanuel Macron stated he plans to appoint a new prime minister this week.

Will the Dollar Index continue to rise?



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Identifying and Trading the Cypher Harmonic Pattern


Harmonic trading patterns provide traders with structured setups based on Fibonacci ratios. The Cypher, while less frequent than patterns like the Gartley or Bat, may provide strong reversal signals when determined correctly. Trading the Cypher pattern requires both skill in identifying the formation and discipline in following its entry and exit rules. In this article, we'll explore how to draw the Cypher, interpret its signals and how traders apply it within a disciplined trading framework.

What Is the Cypher Harmonic Pattern?
The Cypher is a type of harmonic pattern used by traders to identify potential buy and sell trades in financial markets. Specifically, it's used to help find areas where a reversal may occur.

The pattern is made up of five swing points (X, A, B, C, D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, CD). It's characterised by an "M" shape when bullish and a "W" shape if bearish. Traders typically place orders at D to catch the potential reversal.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

EUR/USD Falls to Two-Month Low


As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro has dropped below 1.1550 against the US dollar — its lowest level since early August. The main driver of pressure on the single currency remains the political crisis in France:

President Emmanuel Macron is currently seeking a candidate for the position of prime minister. The situation is complicated by the fact that:
→ the government needs to quickly approve a rather tight budget reflecting the country's significant deficit;
→ media reports highlight unrest in the streets;
→ financial market turbulence is intensifying amid uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

PepsiCo (PEP) Shares Jump Over 4% After Earnings Report — What's Next?


Yesterday, PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) released its quarterly earnings report, which significantly exceeded expectations:
→ Earnings per share ($2.29) beat estimates of $2.26.
→ Gross revenue ($23.94 billion) also came in above forecasts of $23.94 billion.

According to The Wall Street Journal, PepsiCo will have a new Chief Financial Officer in a month — Steve Schmitt, a senior executive from Walmart. Analysts suggest that this leadership change could give the company a fresh boost, particularly as it continues to face challenges with sales growth, reflected in a months-long downtrend in its share price.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Trump's Decision Shakes Global Financial Markets


On Friday, 10 October, President Trump made an unexpected statement about the possible introduction of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering sharp price swings across global markets:

→ Stock markets: The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) tumbled by more than 3%, hitting its lowest level in over a month.
→ Currency markets: The US dollar slumped sharply against other major currencies.
→ Cryptocurrency markets: Bitcoin plunged from above $125k to below $110k, while other digital assets followed suit, leading to the largest long-position liquidation in history.

However, on Sunday, Donald Trump softened his tone on Truth Social, suggesting that trade relations with Beijing "will be absolutely fine". Vice President JD Vance echoed this sentiment, adding that the United States is ready for talks if China is "prepared to act reasonably".

This shift in rhetoric from US officials helped markets recover, with the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rebounding sharply at Monday's open, reclaiming much of Friday's losses.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls Below $60


Friday's comments from President Trump about the potential introduction of 100% tariffs on trade with China pushed WTI crude oil below the $60 level for the first time in four months. The bearish sentiment stemmed from fears of a global economic slowdown amid escalating trade tensions between the world's two largest economies.

The decline was further supported by news of peace efforts in the Middle East, which reduced the impact of geopolitical risk on oil prices.

As the XTI/USD chart shows, WTI is currently trading below $60. How might the situation unfold next?



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips Again While EUR/GBP Holds Support


GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.3500 and corrected some gains. EUR/GBP started a decent increase and might aim for more gains above 0.8710.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- The British Pound is showing bearish signs below the 1.3400 support.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3370 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
- EUR/GBP is gaining pace and trading above the 0.8700 handle.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8695 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to stay above the 1.3450 pivot level. As a result, the British Pound started a fresh decline below 1.3420 against the US Dollar.

There was a clear move below 1.3400 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below 1.3300. Finally, there was a spike below the 1.3280 support zone. A low was formed near 1.3261 and the pair is now consolidating losses.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Top 10 Currencies That Are Considered the Strongest in Asia


Asia is home to some of the world's most powerful economies, and this strength is reflected in many Asian countries' currencies. From oil-rich Gulf states to financial hubs like Singapore, the region hosts a diverse mix of currencies that stand out in global markets. These currencies highlight the economic environment, fiscal discipline, and the influence of natural resources.

In this article, we look at the top ten currencies considered the most valuable in Asia and the reasons behind their resilience.

The List of Top 10 Currencies That Are Considered the Strongest in Asia
The currency rate of Asian countries offers insight into their economic health, showing how each nation's money trades internationally. Stronger currencies typically reflect economic health, resource wealth, or advanced financial systems, while weaker ones may reveal structural challenges.

Below, we present a list of Asian currencies ranked by their value against the US dollar. Using the dollar as the global benchmark allows for clear comparisons between what are seen as Asia's top 10 currencies.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Silver Price Reaches Record High


The previous peak was set in 1980, but this week the price of silver rose above $53 for the first time ever, as shown on the XAG/USD chart.

Bullish sentiment has been driven by political factors, sustained demand from central banks, and the metal's growing use in modern industries such as renewable energy.

Meanwhile, media reports are adding to the sense of market frenzy, noting:
→ shortages in physical supply;
→ forced liquidation of short positions (the "short squeeze" effect);
→ bold analyst forecasts — with a CNBC survey suggesting silver could double from current levels to reach $100.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Commodity Currencies Weaken Amid Escalating Trade Tensions


The Australian and Canadian dollars weakened after Donald Trump announced plans to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. The escalation in trade tensions between the world's two largest economies has increased market caution and weighed on risk-sensitive currencies.

Trump stated that the tariffs would come into effect from 1 November or sooner, depending on Beijing's response. The announcement followed China's decision to restrict exports of rare earth metals — a move that fuelled concerns over the stability of global supply chains.

Although Trump later expressed optimism about a "constructive dialogue" with China, markets interpreted his remarks as a signal for heightened volatility.

This week, traders' focus will remain on further comments from Washington and Beijing, as well as on oil price movements, which continue to be a key driver for USD/CAD. Any softening of rhetoric could support a recovery in commodity currencies, but if the US maintains a hard line, downward pressure on the AUD and CAD may intensify.

USD/CAD

News of the proposed tariffs prompted USD/CAD to break out of its medium-term range between 1.3930 and 1.3970. The pair not only pierced the upper boundary but also consolidated above the key psychological resistance level of 1.4000.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Broadcom (AVGO) Shares Surge Nearly 10% on OpenAI Partnership News


Last month, news of a partnership with OpenAI served as a powerful bullish catalyst for NVIDIA (NVDA) shares. In October, a similar effect can be seen on the Broadcom (AVGO) chart.

According to media reports, the two companies have been collaborating for 18 months but are now making their partnership public. Their plans for 2026 include launching chip racks developed by OpenAI and based on Broadcom technology.

The rally in AVGO shares was further supported by:
→ President Trump's conciliatory tone following his earlier remarks about imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods;
→ the prospect of a meeting between the Chinese and US leaders in South Korea at the end of October, as announced by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

FXOpen Trader

Ascending Channels: Key Characteristics and Trading Applications


Recurring market structures are one of the critical parts of technical analysis. The ascending channel is a classic pattern that reflects steady upward movement. In this article, we break down the structure of ascending channels, their trading implications, and how traders may use them to identify price direction.

What Is an Ascending Channel Pattern?
An ascending channel is a common pattern on price charts. Also known as a rising channel pattern or an upward channel pattern, this formation can be found primarily in the uptrend. It is characterised by two parallel lines. As the price of an asset moves higher over time, these two lines are formed by connecting higher highs and lows, creating boundaries that the price interacts with.

According to the theory, ascending channels mark a period of consolidation in a bullish trend, after which an upward breakout is expected to occur. However, a breakdown may happen. Also, in some cases, we can see the pattern in a downtrend, where the price can also break out in any direction.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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