Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

Forex Traders Focus on Trump's Tariff News


As April 2 approaches—the date when Trump's international trade tariffs are set to take effect—traders are increasingly concentrating on this highly uncertain issue.

Yesterday, the U.S. president stated that:
→ Tariffs on cars would be introduced "soon" (but not all possible tariffs would be imposed);
→ Some countries might receive exemptions;
→ Nations purchasing oil from Venezuela could face 25% tariffs.

Following these remarks:
→ Oil prices rose;
→ U.S. stocks gained as Wall Street (according to Reuters) interpreted the comments as a sign of flexibility in trade negotiations.

Given this backdrop, the EUR/CAD chart is particularly interesting, as both Europe and Canada frequently feature in news related to the White House's trade policies.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

ADX Trend-Based Strategies


The Average Directional Index is a highly-respected tool in many traders' arsenals, capable of measuring the strength of market trends. This article delves into two ADX-based strategies, exploring how to combine this tool with other popular indicators like RSI and EMA for a well-rounded trading system.

Understanding the ADX Trend Indicator

The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a trend strength indicator commonly used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify the strength of market trends, thereby serving as a key component in crafting an effective trend trading strategy.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.q

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Retreats, USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Surge


EUR/USD declined from the 1.0950 resistance and traded below 1.0850. USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 151.00 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone.
  
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
  
• USD/JPY climbed higher above the 149.55 and 150.00 levels.
  
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 150.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
  

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0950 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0775 zone. A low was formed near 1.0776 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

European Currencies Correct to Key Support Levels


The appreciation of European currencies observed over the past two months has stalled after testing key medium-term levels. The single European currency, having fallen just short of 1.0000, formed a bearish engulfing pattern and retreated below 1.0800. GBP/USD buyers failed to hold the price above 1.3000, and last week the pair was trading below 1.2900.

Several important macroeconomic indicators are set to be released in the upcoming trading sessions, which may provide insight into whether the current trends will persist.

EUR/USD

A reversal pattern on the daily timeframe from 18 March interrupted the pair's nearly uninterrupted upward movement from the 1.0360 level.

Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests a potential decline towards 1.0700–1.0680 if the pair continues to trade below 1.0820–1.0800. A break above 1.0860 could resume the upward movement towards the key psychological resistance level of 1.1000.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

UK Inflation Declines


Today, the latest UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released. According to ForexFactory:

The actual annual CPI came in at 2.8%,
Analysts had expected it to remain at the previous level of 3.0%.
As a result, the British pound weakened, and a slight spike in volatility was observed on the FTSE 100 stock index chart (UK 100 on FXOpen)



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Boeing (BA) Share Price Rally Slows Near Key Resistance


The Boeing (BA) stock chart shows that since its March low, the price has surged by approximately 25%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).

This rally was driven by the news that Boeing secured a contract to develop the next generation of fighter jets for the U.S. Navy, beating its main competitor, Lockheed Martin.

According to Business Insider, this success is tied to Boeing's development of the F-47 fighter jet under the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) programme, which will bring the company contracts worth around $20 billion.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Simple Portfolio Management Strategies


In financial market systems, where complexity often obscures the path to effective trading and investing, there can still be clarity and certainty based on the use of simple portfolio management strategies. In this FXOpen article, you will learn about portfolio meaning in investment and how to manage it.

Investment Portfolio: Fundamentals

When talking about portfolio management, the investment portfolio definition often comes to mind. However, portfolio management can be an effective technique not only for investors but also for medium- and long-term traders.

The traditional definition states that an investment portfolio is a carefully selected collection of assets, such as stocks, bonds, indices, commodities, real estate and more, owned by an individual. This collection is not just a random assortment — it is selected strategically with the aim of achieving specific financial goals while managing risks.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish Trend


Earlier this month, our analysis of NVDA's share price led us to:

→ Establish a downward channel (marked in red).

→ Suggest that the lower boundary could act as support, which was confirmed (circled).

On 13 March, we anticipated the median line of this channel might serve as resistance, and yesterday's ~5% drop in NVDA's share price (marked by a red arrow) aligns with this scenario.

As a result, NVDA's price has declined by approximately 17% since the start of 2025, despite being a market leader in 2024.

Why Did Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Drop Yesterday?
Market sentiment turned negative amid concerns that the Trump administration may soon impose previously delayed international trade tariffs.

Additionally, the Financial Times reported that Chinese regulators are encouraging firms to adopt data centre chips that meet stringent environmental standards. This raises concerns that Nvidia's H20 chip, despite complying with U.S. export controls, may not meet China's environmental regulations. Investors seemingly viewed this as a bearish signal for Nvidia's future sales in China.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

XNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March Low


On 27 January, our analysis of the natural gas chart highlighted the formation of an ascending channel. Later, on 10 March, we noted that the sharp price increase had created technical conditions for a correction.

Since then, as indicated by the arrow on the XNG/USD chart, natural gas prices have declined by approximately 19%.

Why Is the Price of Natural Gas Falling?
Unseasonably Warm Weather: Atmospheric G2 reported on Wednesday that forecasts now indicate significant warming across the eastern half of the U.S. from 31 March to 4 April. This could reduce demand for natural gas used in heating.
Rising Inventories: According to the EIA's forecast, weekly natural gas storage levels are expected to increase by +33 billion cubic feet over the past week.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Announcement of New Tariffs Boosts the US Dollar


Yesterday, it was revealed that Donald Trump plans to introduce new 25% tariffs on cars not manufactured in the United States. This duty will be added to existing tariffs and is set to take effect on 2 April. The White House believes that these measures will support the US economy and, in the long term, create new jobs.

At the same time, critics warn that the new tariffs could trigger inflation and lead to a recession. Currently, markets are responding to the news with a strengthening of the US dollar.

USD/JPY

Following the formation of a bullish engulfing pattern on 11 March, USD/JPY buyers have managed to hold above the key resistance level of 150.00.

Technical analysis suggests that if the pair continues trading above 149.30–149.00, further growth towards the 152.00–151.20 range is possible. A break below 149.00 could trigger a new downward move, potentially leading to a retest of the March lows at 146.60.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

How to Perform Order Flow Analysis in Forex


In trading, understanding the mechanics behind market movements is crucial. This article delves into the concept of order flow analysis, focusing on its unique challenges in the decentralised forex market, and offers alternative strategies rooted in supply and demand dynamics.

Order Flow Analysis and Its Limitations in Forex

Order flow analysis serves as a powerful lens through which traders examine the buying and selling activity in a market. In conventional markets like stocks or commodities, it involves scrutinising various data points sourced from a centralised exchange, such as bid-ask spreads, volume, and types of orders, to gauge the market's direction.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Hits Record High


On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested.

As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today.

Why Is Gold Rising?
➝ Uncertainty over Trump's tariff plans
➝ Expectations of lower interest rates

Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Ford (F) Share Price Drops Following Trump's Tariffs


President Trump has fulfilled his promise to impose tariffs on foreign car manufacturers, introducing a 25% tariff on all cars and light trucks not made in the United States, as well as on "certain auto parts."

As reported by Yahoo Finance: "This will continue to drive growth like you've never seen before," Trump stated from the White House on Wednesday while signing the tariff order. The 25% tariffs are set to take effect on 2 April, adding to existing duties. The White House announced that $100 billion in annual tariffs would be collected.

Why Have Ford (F) Shares Fallen?
Trump's decision has led to a sharp drop in car manufacturers' share prices, particularly in Europe. However, shares of American automakers have also declined. Ford (F) shares, according to the price chart, fell by approximately 4% yesterday.

This decline is due to the fact that Ford (as well as GM and Stellantis) has manufacturing facilities in Canada, Mexico, and China, which now means higher costs due to the impact of tariffs on supply chains.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

What Does Lump Sum Investing Mean for Investors and Traders?


Lump sum investing is when an investor or trader commits a significant amount of capital to the market in one go rather than spreading it over time. This approach is believed to provide strong long-term returns but also comes with risks, particularly in volatile markets. This article explores how lump sum investing works, why investors and traders use it, potential risks, and strategies to manage exposure in different market conditions.

What Is Lump Sum Investing?

Lump sum investing is when an investor puts a significant amount of capital into the market at once, rather than spreading it over time. This approach is common when someone receives a windfall—such as an inheritance, bonus, or proceeds from closing an effective position—and decides to invest the full amount immediately.

Unlike dollar-cost averaging (DCA), which involves dividing an investment into smaller, regular parts, lump sum investing seeks to maximise market exposure from day one. The key argument of investors is that markets tend to rise over time. By investing upfront, capital has more time to grow, rather than sitting on the sidelines waiting to be deployed.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Stock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff News


Comparing the approximate difference between last week's opening and closing prices on stock index charts:
➝ The US S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 2.4%.
➝ The European Euro Stoxx 50 (Europe 50 on FXOpen) dropped by 2%.
Why Are Stocks Falling?

The bearish sentiment in stock markets is largely driven by news surrounding White House tariff policies, as reflected in Federal Reserve statements late last week:
➝ Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that tariffs will "inevitably" fuel inflation, at least in the short term.
➝ Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that rapid shifts in US trade policy have created uncertainty for businesses.

US developments are also weighing on European stock markets, which were already under pressure following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign cars. Trump has also threatened further tariffs on the EU and Canada, heightening trade tensions.

Today, the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened with a bearish gap, hitting its lowest level since early 2025, falling below the previous yearly low of 5,292. This reflects growing market concerns ahead of 2 April, when Trump is expected to confirm the implementation of new tariffs.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.