Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Falls to 2026 Low


As the XAU/USD chart indicates, today, shortly after the start of the trading week, gold fell below $4,150 (the low of the year). The last time prices were at this level was in early December 2025, before the rally towards the all-time high.

Why Is Gold Declining?
Gold prices are being pressured by a combination of factors, including:

→ expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer;
→ rising inflation risks driven by elevated oil prices.

In such conditions, market participants may shift capital into bonds, which appear more attractive than gold, as the metal does not generate yield.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

AUD/USD Falls Below Key Support


As the AUD/USD chart indicates, the Australian dollar is showing weakness against the US dollar at the start of the week. Notably, we are seeing a bearish breakout below the lower boundary of an important ascending channel that had been in place since December 2025.

Among the key bearish factors:

→ increased demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset amid the United States' involvement in large-scale military actions against Iran. US President Donald Trump has threatened strikes on Iranian power infrastructure if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, while Tehran has warned of potential attacks on key US and Israeli facilities;

→ a decline in Asian equity markets, which are sensitive to disruptions in energy supplies from the Middle East. In turn, the value of the Australian dollar is closely tied to commodity exports from Australia to China;

→ traders' expectations ahead of inflation data due to be released on Wednesday.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

XTI/USD Analysis: WTI Oil Prices Under Pressure from Trump's Statements


Yesterday, following a false bullish breakout above the psychological $100 level, WTI crude prices fell sharply towards the $85 area. The primary driver of this rapid decline was comments made by the US President.

According to Donald Trump:
→ the United States has postponed planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for five days;
→ productive negotiations are ongoing.

However, Iran later denied these claims, stating that no negotiations to end the conflict were taking place. Moreover, Israel continued its strikes on Iran, while Tehran launched fresh attacks on US assets in the Middle East.

Against this backdrop, the US President's remarks appear to be a form of verbal intervention aimed at pushing oil prices lower — and, as the XTI/USD chart shows, it is having an effect. Today, WTI crude is trading below last week's lows.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge Following Musk's Announcements


According to the chart, Tesla (TSLA) shares had been under significant pressure since the start of 2026: from their December high, they had lost around 25% of their value. The main bearish drivers included:

→ Intense competition from Chinese automakers, particularly BYD.
→ Falling margins. To maintain market share amid fierce competition, Tesla had to offer price concessions.
→ Doubts over whether Musk could launch the Robotaxi project on schedule, given incidents involving the Autopilot system in poor visibility conditions.

However, on 23 March, the shares staged a strong rebound — TSLA gained approximately 3.5% and closed above $380.

The rally was supported by Elon Musk officially unveiling the Terafab project over the weekend — a joint venture between Tesla, SpaceX, and the startup xAI, with investments estimated at $20–25 billion. The plan to build the world's largest full-cycle semiconductor factory in Texas is intended to supply Tesla with its own advanced chips, including the new AI5 generation, for Full Self-Driving (FSD) systems, Cybercab robotaxis, and Optimus humanoid robots.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Analytical US Natural Gas Price Forecast: Outlook 2026–2030


The US natural gas price forecast is closely monitored by traders as volatility in global energy markets continues to increase.

Prices in the United States are influenced by several key factors, including domestic production, storage levels, LNG exports, and weather conditions. Geopolitical developments affecting global energy supply have also become an increasingly important factor influencing natural gas price movements.

As the United States has become a major natural gas exporter, domestic prices are now more closely linked to global demand trends. Understanding these key drivers may help traders assess potential price trends and evolving conditions in natural gas markets.

This article examines the main factors and expert projections shaping US  natural gas price predictions over the next 5 years.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: AUD/USD, NZD/USD Struggle at Resistance, Upside Risks Diminish


AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6910. NZD/USD is also correcting losses and might recover if there is a clear move above 0.5885.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6910 and is now recovering against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.7015 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
- NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave above 0.5800.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.5840 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from well above 0.7050. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.7000, but the bulls were active near 0.6910 against the US Dollar.

The recent swing low was formed near 0.6938, and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.7062 swing high to the 0.6938 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

5 Popular Momentum Indicators Used in Technical Analysis in 2026


Momentum indicators, often referred to as oscillators, are technical analysis tools used to measure the speed and strength of price movements in financial markets. Instead of focusing on the direction of a trend, these indicators analyse how quickly prices change, allowing traders to evaluate whether momentum is strengthening or weakening.

In this article, we examine five momentum indicators widely used in trading — Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Average Directional Index (ADX), Commodity Channel Index (CCI) — and discuss how traders interpret their signals in market analysis.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

FX Market Awaits Macro Data: EUR/USD and GBP/USD Near Range Boundaries


European currencies are trading without a clear direction against the US dollar, remaining in a consolidation phase following the earlier decline driven by USD strength. At the start of the week, both EUR/USD and GBP/USD attempted a recovery, but the upside proved limited, and the pairs are now testing the upper boundaries of their short-term trading ranges.

Market participants are adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the release of key macroeconomic data, which could determine the next direction for the dollar and major currency pairs. Geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East remains an additional factor weighing on sentiment. Reports of ongoing tensions and risks to energy supply disruptions continue to support elevated oil prices, fuelling inflation expectations and prompting investors to reassess the outlook for central bank policy.

Today, the focus is on business activity and inflation data from Europe and the UK, as well as housing market and consumer activity figures from the US. These releases could significantly impact interest rate expectations, prompting traders to refrain from opening large positions ahead of the data.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Fall to 2026 Low


As the chart shows, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares have dropped to their lowest level of 2026, with trading closing well below the psychological $300 per share mark.

Why Have Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Declined?
The bearish move is driven by a combination of factors, including:

→ Escalating geopolitical tensions. With the prospect of a prolonged US conflict with Iran becoming more relevant, market participants may be reducing exposure to risk assets, favouring stability instead. Technology stocks are particularly vulnerable in such an environment.

→ In March, it was reported that Alphabet plans to allocate $175–185 billion to AI infrastructure this year. These expenditures could weigh on profit margins, while a quick return on investment is far from guaranteed.

In addition, media reports point to pressure from antitrust regulators, downward revisions to price targets by analysts, and share sales by GOOGL executives. Meanwhile, the chart and volume analysis highlight a significant shift in market sentiment.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/CAD Rises to a Two-Month High


Today, the USD/CAD currency pair climbed above the 1.3787 level for the first time since late January.

→ Demand for the US dollar is being supported by concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East. Market participants are favouring the USD as a safe-haven asset.

→ The Canadian dollar is under pressure due to domestic economic concerns. According to media reports, recent data point to weak GDP growth and a soft labour market. This increases the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates, while the Federal Reserve is expected to keep them unchanged.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Silver Price Falls Back Below $70


As can be observed on the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver has once again dropped below the psychological $70 level. At the same time, this week has been marked by sharp fluctuations: on Monday, prices traded below $65, while as recently as yesterday, silver reached $74 per ounce.

Market volatility is being driven by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Conflicting statements from the United States and Iran regarding potential peace negotiations continue to unsettle financial markets. According to media reports:

→ Washington maintains that negotiations are ongoing, with the Trump administration reportedly delivering a 15-point proposal to Iran via intermediaries, aimed at resolving the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

→ Iran, in turn, has stated that it does not intend to negotiate with the US, rejecting the proposed ceasefire and instead putting forward its own conditions.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

The EUR/AUD Pair Rose by More Than 2% Over the Week


If last Thursday trading was taking place below the 1.6300 level, today one euro is worth more than 1.6660 Australian dollars. The upward trend seen in recent days has been driven by a combination of factors, including:

→ Bullish factor for the euro: The European Central Bank (ECB) has revised its 2026 inflation forecast upwards (to 2.6%). The reason lies in the Middle East conflict and rising energy prices. This signals to the market that the ECB may not only refrain from cutting rates but could also begin discussing potential rate hikes this year.

→ Bearish factor for the Australian dollar: The Middle East conflict is placing significant pressure on China's economy (which is already dealing with a property market crisis). A slowdown in trade with China is weakening the Australian currency. For more details, see the article: What Are Commodity Currencies?

However, the chart indicates that the bullish momentum is fading — this is reflected in a series of bearish divergences, with the RSI moving down from overbought territory.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Meta Platforms (META) Shares Fall by Around 8%


Yesterday, shares of Meta Platforms saw a sharp decline, dropping by approximately 8%, with trading closing below the $550 level for the first time since late April 2025.

Why META Shares Declined
The move was driven by a combination of factors, including:

→ Jury ruling. According to media reports, a jury ordered Meta to pay $375 million for misleading parents about the safety of Instagram and Facebook. The court also found the company liable for developing addictive algorithms that harm teenagers' mental health.

→ Confirmed capital expenditure (CapEx) for 2026 in the range of $115–135 billion. Significant funds are being directed towards energy infrastructure, including a 6.6 GW nuclear energy deal to power the Prometheus supercomputer. The market may question whether returns on AI investments will justify such large-scale spending.

Sentiment has also been weighed down by reports of plans to cut up to 20% of the workforce. While layoffs are typically viewed positively due to cost savings, in this case they may signal that profit margins are being squeezed more than expected due to AI-related expenditure.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Geopolitics Fuels Volatility: AUD/USD and USD/CAD Near Key Levels


Commodity-linked currencies continue to weaken amid rising geopolitical tensions, which are boosting demand for safe-haven assets and increasing volatility across both FX and commodity markets. The US dollar is gaining support from demand for liquid and defensive assets, while currencies sensitive to commodities and global risk appetite remain under pressure. Against this backdrop, AUD/USD and USD/CAD have broken through key technical levels, pointing to strengthening momentum and raising the likelihood of further moves in the same direction.

Additional pressure on the market comes from escalating tensions in the Middle East. Reports of fresh strikes, risks of disruptions to energy supplies, and potential restrictions on key shipping routes have pushed oil prices higher. Rising energy costs are fuelling inflation concerns and reducing investors' appetite for risk, supporting the dollar while weighing on commodity currencies.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Oil, US Retail Sales & NFP in Focus

In this video, we'll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let's dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson breaks down what moved the markets over the past few days and unpacks the strategic implications of the most critical events driving global markets.

Key topics covered in this episode:
- What Happened in the Markets Over the Past Few Days
- US Retail Sales
- US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate

In summary, next week markets face a balance between elevated volatility from geopolitical risks and potential direction from upcoming macroeconomic data.

Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.




Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.