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Author Topic: 隨著刺激措施的增加,美元需求減弱  (Read 43 times)

杰西外汇

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隨著刺激措施的增加,美元需求減弱

美元週五在歐洲早盤進一步下跌,因為2.2萬億美元的一攬子計劃可能通過,從而緩解了冠狀病毒爆發後全球經濟衰退的擔憂,並有望大幅增加美聯儲的資產負債表。

美東時間上午3:55(格林威治標準時間0755),跟踪美元對其他一籃子6種貨幣的美元指數報99.565,在前夜大幅下跌後反彈。

該指數自3月18日以來首次跌破100水平。該指數較一周前下跌約4%。如果在美國貿易結束之前持續下去,那將是自2009年以來最大的每週跌幅。

歐元/美元報1.1020,下跌0.1%,而美元/日元下跌0.6%至108.89。英鎊兌美元匯率也創下了10天來的最高水平,隔夜上漲至1.2256美元。隨後回落至1.2203。

預計美國眾議院將在周五晚些時候投票通過2萬億美元的刺激方案,而美聯儲傑洛姆·鮑威爾(Federal Reserve Jerome Powell)承認美國“很可能已經陷入衰退”,但堅持認為​​美聯儲在此之後仍有大量彈藥。本週早些時候,它提高了債券購買計劃。

這提高了人們的預期,即央行正在尋求增加其最近的刺激計劃-特別是在美國首次申請失業救濟人數史無前例的增長突顯出該病毒對經濟的影響之後。

丹斯克銀行(Danske Bank)的分析師在一份研究報告中表示:“有趣的是,美國的一攬子支出計劃中有更多的資金用於外匯穩定基金,美國財政部用來將其註入美聯儲的各種信貸計劃中。” “這意味著如果需要,美聯儲的各種信貸計劃可以大大擴展。”

丹斯克補充說,由於美聯儲新的信貸和流動性計劃以及債券購買的增加,美聯儲資產負債表的新數據顯示,增加了5,860億美元,至52,540億美元,再創歷史新高。 “出於同樣的原因,預計資產負債表將在不久的將來進一步增長。”

丹斯克稱,歐元兌美元已經突破了1.10,短期內可能在1.10-1.12區間內交易。

“我們繼續看到冠狀病毒的數量在接下來的幾週內達到頂峰,隨著全球財政政策的經濟幫助,財務壓力正在下降。”



 

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