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Bitcoin Price News (BTC/USD) Update and Analysis

Started by BrittanyMc, November 20, 2025, 04:56:29 PM

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BrittanyMc

Bitcoin Price (BTC/USD) Daily Analysis

This is not advice on investment, only data and brief analysis

Tag : forex news today, economic update, world financial market update compilation, asset price updates

BrittanyMc


This is not advice on investment, only data and brief analysis

Here's a snapshot of the situation for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) as of 24 November 2025, covering both fundamental and technical aspects, along with recent global-news context.

1. Fundamental overview
Demand / supply / ecosystem

Bitcoin appears to be undergoing a phase of correction: according to one market summary, it is down roughly 33 % from its October peak, following a large wave of liquidations (~US$2.2 billion) in the derivatives market.

Institutional flows: many reports indicate that spot Bitcoin ETFs and other digital-asset vehicles have seen a pause or slowdown in inflows, and overall market liquidity is under pressure.

Mining/supply side: A notable development is the resurgence of Bitcoin mining in China — despite the ban in 2021, China has reportedly regained ~14 % of global Bitcoin mining market share by end-October 2025.

That development may influence network dynamics (hash-rate, decentralisation) and indirectly economics of mining rewards/costs.

Macro / thematic drivers: Some commentary notes that Bitcoin's earlier rally (in November) was supported by institutional adoption and favourable macro trends (e.g., weaker USD, inflation hedging).

Key take-aways (fundamental)

The growing mining activity in China is a significant development — it may suggest cost pressure for miners is easing or shifting globally, which in turn may affect network security and supply cost.

On the demand side, while institutional interest remains relevant, recent outflows or decelerations in flows and heavy liquidation events are signs of stress.

Regulatory uncertainty remains a drag or risk factor: multiple jurisdictions are still catching up with frameworks, meaning that regulatory policy remains a variable for market participants.

Overall, the fundamentals seem to be in a mixed state: some positive structural trends (institutional adoption, mining resurgence) but near-term headwinds (liquidity, regulation, correction).

2. Technical / price-action overview

At the time of this report, BTC is trading around US$86,765.

Key technical observations

The current price channel suggests a down-trend: the short-term moving averages have flipped, momentum indicators show oversold readings — but they have not yet produced a convincing bullish divergence.

Support zones: the nearest support is cited around US$80,000–78,000 (which aligns with prior consolidation areas). If that breaks, a further downside target in the US$76,000–72,000 range is referenced.

Resistance: the area between ~US$92,000–95,000 is now significant as the first resistance band; a sustained move above ~US$100,000–105,000 would more clearly signal a change in trend.

Price behaviour: recent reporting notes that Bitcoin fell as much as 2.3 % to briefly dip below US$86,000 and regained some ground.

Key take-aways

The technical picture is leaning bearish to neutral, with clear break of support, momentum loss, and no immediate technical signal of strong reversal.

The oversold condition suggests that short-term rebounds are possible, but they may remain within a broader down-trend until key resistance is reclaimed.

Price action is more consistent with a corrective phase rather than a strong re-acceleration upward at this moment.


3. Recent global news / contextual events

Mining in China rebounding: As noted above, miners are returning to China despite official bans, using cheap electricity in provinces like Xinjiang and Sichuan. This is being interpreted as a sign of subtle policy softening and may reinforce the narrative that Bitcoin has a global, resilient presence.

Regulatory warnings: The FSB's thematic review highlighted that global regulation is still incomplete and inconsistent — this underscores the systemic regulatory risk that hangs over crypto markets.

India's stance: RBI governor emphasized the "huge risk" in cryptocurrencies — showing that major economies are still cautious.

Implications from news

The mining resurgence in China may reduce downside risk of mining-cost driven sell-pressure (miners forced to sell into weak price) but also may introduce new competitive pressures among miners globally, which could impact cost margins and hash-rate dynamics.

Regulatory advances and warnings mean that investor focus is not only on price but also landscape: changes in regulation can shift risk perception quickly.

The heavy liquidations and fear sentiment highlight that although structural adoption is present, the market remains fragile and prone to reactions from macro or policy shocks.

4. My commentary

Putting together the above, some observations:

We are in a phase where Bitcoin's structural story retains validity (institutional adoption, global mining, emerging macro role) but the near-term dynamic is more one of consolidation or correction rather than breakout. The fact that support has been breached and momentum is weak suggests caution.

The regulatory backdrop is still a  Earnings-price ratiocard. Even if the story of adoption is positive, markets increasingly pay attention to regulation, liquidity, derivatives health and macro-risk. The fact that global oversight is still "catching up" means risk premia remain elevated.

Technically, with the price below key support zones and no clear bullish trigger, the market appears to be waiting — waiting for confirmation either from macro (e.g., policy, rate changes) or structural (ETF flows, large-scale adoption) drivers.

In short: the environment seems set for range-bound or cautious watch, rather than runaway directional moves — at least until there is a catalyst that strongly shifts supply, demand or regulatory clarity.

5. Summary

Fundamentally: Bitcoin is supported by structural factors (institutional adoption, mining infrastructure) but faces headwinds from liquidity, recent corrections and regulatory uncertainty.

Technically: The price is in a corrective phase, having broken support, with downward momentum but potential for short-term rebounds; key zones to watch are ~US$80,000–78,000 (support) and ~US$92,000–95,000 (resistance).

News / context: Mining resurgence in China, regulatory warnings globally, large liquidations and elevated fear sentiment are all in the background and shaping current market psychology.

My view: This is a consolidation/correction phase rather than a clear accelerating up-trend; the market seems to be digesting existing gains, waiting for the next driver.



BrittanyMc

This is not advice on investment, only data and brief analysis

Here is the situation for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) as of 25 November 2025, covering both the fundamental backdrop and the technical/market structure — followed by some commentary (not advice).

1. Fundamental overview

Demand, supply and ecosystem

Bitcoin is showing evidence of a rebound from its recent lows. According to reports, it is trading in the US$87,000–88,000 range after having dipped into the low US$80,000s.

On-chain and ecosystem data:

Mining in China is visibly resurging despite the 2021 ban, with China's share of global Bitcoin mining rising to around 14 % in October 2025. This suggests enhanced network activity and supply-side dynamics.

Some flows show institutional or large-scale interest: data indicate that institutions have picked up sizeable amounts of Bitcoin even amidst correction pressures.

The broader crypto market has seen large declines: Bitcoin dropped more than 30 % from its recent highs, which has drained liquidity and raised risk aversion.

Regulatory and security risks remain material: for example, the resurgence of Chinese mining raises questions about enforcement and jurisdictional risk; also security incidents in crypto are being highlighted alongside.

Macro/Market environment: The potential for interest-rate cuts in the U.S. is supporting risk assets, including Bitcoin, but the macro headwinds (central-bank policy, risk-off sentiment) remain significant.

Key take-aways (fundamental)

While the structural narrative for Bitcoin (network growth, mining resilience, institutional participation) retains credibility, its near-term fundamentals are mixed: demand is showing signs of recovering but still faces liquidity strain and sentiment weakness.

Supply-side dynamics (e.g., mining capacity in China returning) may provide underlying support, but they also introduce uncertainty (e.g., about decentralisation, regulatory treatment).

The macro/regulatory backdrop is crucial: if risk appetite returns (e.g., via a rate cut or improved policy clarity), that could bolster Bitcoin; if not, the correction tailwinds remain.

Overall: the fundamental picture is cautiously constructive but tempered by significant short-term risks.

2. Technical / market structure overview

Price-action and indicators

Bitcoin has rebounded from the recent low levels in the US$80,000s into the US$87,000–88,000 range.

Caution remains: Bitcoin continues to trade below major resistance zones, even though mining has come back and the narrative is improving.

Technical warnings: The large drop from Bitcoin's highs may makes this decline potentially harder to recover from.

Macros such as potential options expiries (~US$13.3 billion monthly) and funding rates are being watched for short-squeeze risk and near-term volatility.

Key technical observations

The fact that Bitcoin is trading below key resistance suggests that until those levels are convincingly reclaimed, upside momentum may remain limited.

The recent rebound may reflect relief or "bargain-buying" more than a strong trend-change — indicators of strong downward trend remain in place.

The large drop from the highs means that previous support levels may now act as resistance, and investor sentiment needs time to reset.

Key take-aways (technical)

The market structure is cautious: while some bounce is underway, this is not yet clearly a strong up-trend.

Momentum appears mixed: while the immediate bounce is positive, the broader technical context still leans toward a risk of further downside or at least consolidation.

Watching for confirmation (price reclaiming resistance, improved volume/liquidity) would matter for a more confident shift in trend.

3. Recent global context

Mining resurgence in China: Despite the official ban, China appears to have reclaimed roughly 14 % of global Bitcoin mining share by October 2025.

Rate-cut hopes: The potential for a U.S. rate cut (in December) appears to be providing support for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Market-wide crypto sell-off: Over US$1 trillion has been wiped from the broader crypto market in recent weeks, and Bitcoin's drop is being treated as an early warning signal for risk assets generally.

4. My commentary

Putting together the fundamentals, technicals and news context:

It feels like Bitcoin is in a transition phase: the sharp pullback has shaken sentiment and liquidity, but some of the underlying structural elements remain intact. The rebound into the high US$80Ks suggests market participants are testing the waters again.

The mining revival in China stands out as a meaningful narrative shift: while still informal/underground in many respects, it suggests that the infrastructure supporting Bitcoin's network remains dynamic. That gives a bit more resilience to the supply side than had perhaps been assumed.

However, the challenges are meaningful: the drop from the highs was steep, liquidity has been drained, and a lot of psychology has to heal. Technically, without reclaiming resistance zones and improving volume, the bounce could remain limited.

In short: The current environment is not one of clear breakout and strong upward trend, but rather one of watchfulness, where signs of recovery exist but need to be confirmed by flow, volume, and policy/macro developments.

Given everything, the prudent view is to acknowledge that while a base may be forming or at least stabilising, risk remains elevated, and the market will likely remain sensitive to external shocks, macro policy moves and flow dynamics.

5. Summary

Fundamentally: Bitcoin retains structural support (network resilience, mining comeback, institutional interest) but is operating in a challenging demand/flow environment (sell-offs, liquidity constraints, regulatory uncertainty).

Technically: The price is bouncing, but is still beneath key resistances, and the overall market structure leans toward consolidation or correction rather than a clear up-trend.

Context: Mining revival in China and rate-cut hopes are supportive; but the recent large sell-down and broader risk-asset stress are important headwinds.

Commentary: We seem to be in a holding pattern where signs of stabilisation are appearing, but the next meaningful move will likely require a catalyst (volume, policy clarity, flow shift) rather than being a purely technical rebound.

BrittanyMc



This is not advice on investment, only data and brief analysis

Here's an updated report on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) as of 4 December 2025, covering both fundamental and technical aspects — along with recent global-news context and my commentary. (This is a report only — not financial advice.)

1. Fundamental situation
Demand, supply, and ecosystem developments

As of early December 2025, some institutional-demand signals for Bitcoin appear to be returning. Report from an institutional-investor research group suggests that many institutions continue to view Bitcoin as a candidate for portfolio diversification and long-term growth under improving regulatory clarity.

Nevertheless, November saw challenges for mining profitability: according to a recent analysis, mining profitability for Bitcoin fell for a fourth consecutive month in November.

That suggests that even though the network remains intact, miners' margins have been under pressure — which could impact supply-side behavior (e.g., timing of coin sales, miner capitulation) if weak profitability persists.

On the macro/market-structure side, 2025 has increasingly looked like a consolidation period for Bitcoin. That signals overall market caution, and perhaps a wait-and-see attitude among larger investors.

Broader investor sentiment seems cautiously optimistic: the renewed institutional interest (or at least openness) hints that despite volatility, many still see Bitcoin as part of a longer-term asset allocation, rather than purely speculative instrument.

Fundamental key take-aways (as of 4 Dec 2025)

Bitcoin's underlying network remains functioning and intact; despite declining mining profitability, supply-side issuance continues and the ecosystem remains alive.

Demand appears to be cautiously recovering, especially among institutional investors looking at long-term diversification and use-case framing, aided by improving regulatory clarity.

Overall, fundamentals remain mixed but structurally stable: there are near-term pressures (mining profitability, macro headwinds, consolidation), but the long-term narrative — adoption, institutional interest, digital-asset integration — retains relevance.

2. Technical / market-structure & Price behaviour

As of 4 December, Bitcoin has rebounded above ~US$93,000. One recent technical analysis marks the ~$93,000 level as a resistance-turnover point, which BTC has just broken.

BTC/USD seems to trade near a "battleground" region around $92,975 — the zone where short-term correction may be contested between upward pressure (from rallies) and downward resistance (from sellers).

The broader 2025 trend seems to reflect "compression" — periods of volatility followed by consolidation, rather than a runaway bull run.

Technical summary (as of 4 Dec 2025)

Price has recently rebounded above ~$93,000, indicating a short-term relief rally or bounce.

But the market remains in a state of consolidation/compression with mixed momentum: while support appears firm, resistance zones remain significant, and overall volatility remains elevated.

Without a clear breakout beyond resistance — or a catalyst to drive strong demand — the technical setup remains cautious: gains may be vulnerable to reversal or range-bound behavior.

3. Recent global-news and macro/market context

On 4 December, renewed risk-asset appetite — partly driven by increased expectations for a U.S. rate cut — has benefited Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, lifting BTC to two-week highs.

Another contributing factor has been renewed institutional interest and higher demand via distribution channels: some platforms have reportedly opened or expanded access to crypto-asset ETFs or offerings for a broader investor base.

However, the overall macroeconomic backdrop remains fragile: earlier this month, Bitcoin had dropped sharply — partly due to risk-off sentiment, leveraged positions being unwound, and broader market volatility.

At the same time, structural issues linger: mining profitability decline underscores that not all aspects of the ecosystem are thriving, and liquidity/compression patterns suggest many participants remain wary or cautious.

4. My Commentary

Taking into account the recent data, as of early December 2025, Bitcoin seems to be in a tentative recovery phase more than a full-fledged rally. The rebound above ~$93,000 is encouraging — it shows that demand (or at least interest) has picked up again, possibly reflecting renewed risk appetite, improved institutional sentiment, or macro tailwinds (e.g., rate-cut expectations).

At the same time, the broader technical and fundamental context remains fragile: mining remains under pressure, and the recent history of sharp drawdowns means many investors are likely cautious. In this environment, gains may prove fragile unless backed by sustained inflows, stronger liquidity, or definitive macro signals (e.g., rate decisions, regulatory clarity, institutional commitments).

More broadly, what stands out is that Bitcoin in 2025 seems less like a runaway bull-market and more like an asset in transition and consolidation — wrangling with volatility, macro uncertainty, and changing market dynamics. That doesn't mean the long-term case is gone, but near-term moves may be more about testing support and sentiment than explosive growth.

In short: Bitcoin's foundation remains intact; recent rebound offers a glimmer of stabilization; but given technical resistance and ecosystem headwinds, one should view the current state as cautiously constructive, yet uncertain.



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