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なぜ私はトレード戦略を絶えず変えるのでしょうか?

Started by 内訳を打つ, September 09, 2018, 11:51:16 PM

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内訳を打つ

初心者が失敗する最大の理由の一つは、戦略を頻繁に切り替えすぎることだとわかっているのに、なぜ私はトレード戦略を絶えず変えるのでしょうか?

プライスアクション、トレンドトレード、サポートとレジスタンス、インジケーター、あるいはそれらの組み合わせなど、何かの手法に固執しようとするたびに、損失を出したり市場が不安定になったりした途端、パニックに陥り、その戦略が破綻したと思い込み、YouTubeで「より良い」システムを探し始め、新しいインジケーターを試し、設定を調整し、ルールを書き直し、この新しいバージョンが最終的にうまくいくと自分に言い聞かせます。しかし、このサイクルは果てしなく繰り返され、私は疲れ果て、混乱し、何でも少しは知っているけれど、何一つ熟練していないような気分になります。そして、私が絶えず戦略をコロコロと変えるのは、何かを習得するまで長く続けなければならないという感情的な不快感を避けるための方法なのかもしれないと気づき始めています。

ドローダウンや連敗に直面するたびに、恐怖と自己不信が引き起こされ、別の戦略の方がパフォーマンスが良いという幻想に陥ってしまいます。論理的にはどんなシステムでも負ける時期があることは分かっていても、感情的には損失を受け入れることができず、何かを変えたいと思う気持ちが抑えられません。経験豊富なトレーダーが、衝動的に手法を変えたいという誘惑にどう抵抗し、自分のアプローチに自信を築き、通常のドローダウンと本当に破綻したシステムをどう見分け、真の統計データを収集するのに十分な期間、どうやってコミットし続けるのかを理解したいと思っています。なぜなら、今の私は、一貫性や習熟度を高める機会を全く与えずに、次から次へと戦略を試すという終わりのないループに陥っているように感じているからです。

この悪循環を断ち切り、何度も最初からやり直すのではなく、最終的に進歩を遂げる方法を切望しています。

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