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Por que mudo constantemente minha estratégia de negociação?

Started by AntoineBur, September 10, 2018, 01:41:16 AM

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AntoineBur

Por que mudo constantemente minha estratégia de negociação, mesmo sabendo que trocar de estratégia com muita frequência é um dos maiores motivos pelos quais os iniciantes fracassam?

Toda vez que tento me comprometer com um método — seja ação do preço, negociação de tendência, suporte e resistência, indicadores ou alguma combinação — no momento em que sofro algumas perdas ou o mercado fica instável, entro em pânico, presumo que a estratégia está quebrada, começo a procurar no YouTube um sistema "melhor", experimento novos indicadores, ajusto as configurações, reescrevo minhas regras e digo a mim mesmo que esta nova versão finalmente será a que funciona. No entanto, o ciclo se repete infinitamente, me deixando exausto, confuso e com a sensação de que sei um pouco de tudo, mas não sou habilidoso em nada. Estou começando a perceber que essa minha constante troca de estratégias pode ser minha maneira de evitar o desconforto emocional de persistir em algo por tempo suficiente para dominá-lo.

Sempre que enfrento um drawdown ou uma sequência de perdas, isso desencadeia medo e insegurança, levando-me à ilusão de que outra estratégia teria um desempenho melhor. Mesmo sabendo, logicamente, que todos os sistemas passam por períodos de prejuízo, emocionalmente não consigo aceitar as perdas sem querer mudar algo. Quero entender como traders experientes resistem à tentação de trocar de método impulsivamente, como constroem confiança em sua abordagem, como diferenciam entre drawdowns normais e sistemas realmente falidos e como se mantêm comprometidos o tempo suficiente para coletar dados estatísticos reais. No momento, sinto-me preso em um ciclo interminável de testar uma estratégia após a outra, sem nunca me dar a chance de desenvolver consistência ou domínio.

Estou desesperado para entender como quebrar esse ciclo para que eu finalmente possa progredir, em vez de recomeçar constantemente.

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