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S&P 500 Analysis: How Long Could the Stock Market Correction Last?
Six days ago, we noted that the Nasdaq 100 had entered a correction phase. Now, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has followed suit, closing more than 10% below its 19 February peak on Thursday, officially confirming a correction.
Statistically, according to research by Yardeni Research: → Market corrections occur quite frequently—since 1929, the S&P 500 has experienced 56 corrections. → Only 22 of those corrections turned into bear markets, defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent record highs.
S&P 500 Analysis: How Long Could This Correction Last? On one hand, Friday’s market rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in.
On the other hand: → US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Sunday that there are "no guarantees" the world's largest economy will avoid a recession. This came just a week after US President Donald Trump refused to rule out such a scenario.
→ The current correction has lasted 22 days so far, whereas historically, the average correction lasts 115 days and results in a 13.8% decline from the peak.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
According to the stock chart of music streaming giant Spotify (SPOT), the share price: → Increased by almost 7% by the end of trading on Friday. → Has surged approximately 28% since the start of 2025—one of the strongest performances in the stock market. → Has nearly doubled over the past 12 months.
Why Is Spotify (SPOT) Stock Rising? As we noted late last year, investors have responded enthusiastically to the launch of the “Premium” plan, which offers higher-quality, ad-free music streaming and is expected to boost the company’s revenue.
Additionally, on Friday, Spotify announced that it had paid out around $10 billion in royalties to artists during 2024. By comparison, in 2014, this figure was “just” $1 billion.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Canada’s Inflation, Fed and BoE Interest Rates, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss: — Canada’s Inflation Rate — Fed Interest Rate Decision — BoE Interest Rate Decision — Corporate Earnings Reports
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) in Investing and Trading?
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a popular strategy used by investors and traders to manage market fluctuations and build positions over time. Instead of trying to time the market, DCA focuses on consistent, regular investments regardless of price movements. This article answers “What is DCA?”, its advantages and limitations, and how it can be applied in both investing and trading.
What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)? So what is DCA investing? Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a strategy that involves consistently investing a fixed sum at regular intervals, regardless of the asset’s current price. This approach helps distribute the cost of purchases over time, potentially reducing the impact of short-term price fluctuations. Instead of trying to time the market perfectly—a challenging task even for experienced traders—a dollar-cost averaging strategy focuses on regular contributions to average the cost of assets.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
According to the EUR/USD chart, the euro to dollar exchange rate yesterday surpassed the peak from early June, rising above 1.092 – the last time the price was at this level was on March 21.
Bullish sentiments in the market were supported by:
→ Approaching Thursday's meeting of the European Central Bank – it is expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. However, attention will be focused on comments from its president Christine Lagarde regarding the timing of the next interest rate cut.
→ Expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September. As Reuters reports, Powell stated yesterday that economic indicators in the US for the second quarter "to some extent bolster the confidence" that inflation is returning to the target level in a sustainable manner.
As we mentioned in our analytical review of the EUR/USD chart on July 1:
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Yesterday, the S&P 500 stock index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) set another historical high, closing near the 5650 level.
However, similar records are not observed on the charts of rally leaders from the first half of 2024 – NVDA's price is 8.6% below its historical high, MSFT is 3.1% lower, and GOOGL is 2.6% below its record.
And this isn't the only cause for concern. Insider sales, as indicated by reports to the SEC, could add to anxieties. For instance:
→ Bezos sold over $900 million worth of AMZN shares;
→ Nvidia board member Mark Stevens continues to sell NVDA shares, as does company CEO Jensen Huang.
According to Goldman Sachs, fund managers have increased their long positions in US stock index futures to record levels.
And according to a July survey of fund managers conducted by Bank Of America:
→ Market sentiment remains bullish amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and a soft landing for the economy;
→ Geopolitics now pose the biggest risk to markets, followed by inflation.
If professional market participants foresee further growth in the stock index, it might not be driven by shares of large companies.
On June 27, we discussed the bullish "cup and handle" pattern near the $190 level on the AMZN price chart. Since then, bulls have shown the ability to push the price towards the psychological level of $200, but they have not managed to sustain this success.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
As we reported on 26th June, analysing the Nikkei 225 chart (Japan 225 on FXOpen):
→ The price is in a significant upward trend (shown by the blue channel);
→ The price may continue to rise along the median line.
Since then, the Nikkei 225 index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) has increased by more than 6%, reaching a yearly high on 10th July above 42,500 points. The price particularly surged on 9-10 July, breaking resistance at 41,160 (formed from the previous peak at the end of March).
However, the bears made a strong comeback afterwards, pushing the price back to the 41,160 level. Thus:
→ Completely offsetting the gains from 9-10 July;
→ Forming a bearish engulfing pattern spanning 4 candles;
→ Prompting consideration that the breakout above 41,160 was false (a trap for bulls).
According to Reuters, bearish drivers included technology stocks such as Tokyo Electron, which saw a more than 6% decline in one day, following sell-offs in US technology stocks (as reported on 12th July).
Sentiment in the Japanese stock market is also influenced by risks of interventions by the Bank of Japan to support the yen.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Watch FXOpen's 8 - 12 July Weekly Market Wrap Video
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD, NVDA Stock
Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
GBP/USD Hits Four-Month High Following GDP Growth News
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Yesterday’s news of slowing inflation in the US sharply weakened the dollar, anticipating the Federal Reserve’s monetary easing. In the first 15 minutes after the data release:
→ EUR/USD rose by approximately 0.45% to the psychological level of 1.09;
→ GBP/USD increased by approximately 0.55%, reaching a 2024 high.
Conversely, USD/JPY fell, with a more aggressive movement. As the chart shows, the dollar weakened against the yen by about 1.8% in the first 15 minutes after the release. This suggests that amidst the US news, the Bank of Japan intervened to support its currency, which hadn’t fallen below 160 yen per USD since June 26.
Reuters reports that Tokyo’s chief currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, stated on Friday that authorities would take necessary measures in the currency market but declined to comment on whether they had intervened.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The data confirming the slowdown in inflation raised expectations that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates as early as September. But why did the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) drop then? Yesterday, the tech stock index fell by over 2.1%, marking its worst day since early May.
The reason lies in rotation. Investors seem to have shifted their focus from the highly inflated tech stocks since the start of 2024 to other sectors. Approximately 400 companies in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) showed growth. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) closed in the green yesterday.
Bloomberg reports that Kelly Cox from Ritholtz Wealth Management believes this day could be a turning point for the markets. It also serves as a good reminder of the importance of diversification.
One of the drivers of yesterday's decline was NVDA shares, which fell by more than 5% in a day (we wrote about the bearish behaviour of Nvidia’s price and volumes just the day before).
What’s next?
The equal-weighted version of the S&P 500, where stocks like Nvidia have the same weight as Dollar Tree Inc., rose yesterday. This version of the index is less sensitive to the influence of large tech companies, making a case for the rally expanding to other stocks.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes 1.3000 While EUR/GBP Struggles
GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.2900 resistance. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8400 region.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today
The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2950.
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2910 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8440 pivot level.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8425 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2750 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.2850 zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2900. The pair even climbed above 1.2925 and traded as high as 1.2949. Recently, there was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2775 swing low to the 1.2949 high, but the bulls were active above 1.29700.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
PepsiCo Stock Rebounds from Yearly Low Ahead of Earnings Report
The PepsiCo stock chart indicates:
→ Yesterday, the price dropped below $161, setting a new low for 2024.
→ However, by the end of the trading day, the price rose above $163.3, closing near the day's high.
This bullish intraday behaviour might suggest positive sentiment emerging ahead of today's earnings report.
According to Dow Jones Newswires:
→ PepsiCo's management anticipates organic revenue growth of 4% and an 8% increase in earnings per share in 2024.
→ The consensus among analysts tracked by FactSet is a 3% rise in sales and a 7% increase in earnings.
PepsiCo's stock has fallen by 9% over the past two months. Investors are concerned that demand might suffer due to rising prices from inflation and the growing popularity of weight-loss drugs, which could curb people's cravings for snacks and sugary drinks.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD Hits Four-Month High Following GDP Growth News
day, the UK Office for National Statistics published data showing an increase in GDP.
According to Forex Factory:
→ A month ago, GDP was at 0.0% month-on-month;
→ This month, analysts had forecasted growth of 0.2%;
→ Actual growth reached 0.4%.
This news should be welcomed by the Labour Party, which has come into power with ambitious plans for economic development.
On the other hand, how will the Bank of England respond? The GDP growth might provide an argument for maintaining high interest rates for a longer period to ensure that fears of a new inflationary surge do not materialise.
As Bloomberg reports, markets currently assess the likelihood of a rate cut at the next Bank of England meeting on 1 August at just under 50%.
Financial markets reacted with a rise in the sterling's value against other currencies. The GBP/USD rate is at its highest level since early March. Will the Growth Continue?
The GBP/USD chart shows that the price is in a rally, having risen by 1.7% since the beginning of July.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Markets Awaiting US Inflation Data: What is the Probability of Trend Reversals?
The major currency pairs are in a holding pattern following the release of the latest US labour market data and Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress. The Fed Chair noted that the Federal Reserve has made "significant progress" in its mission to combat inflation, but emphasized the need for "more good data" before lowering interest rates. Judging by the movements of the major currency pairs, the market appears sceptical of the Fed Chair's statements:
The AUD/USD pair has refreshed the May highs of the current year and strengthened above 0.6700.
The USD/CAD pair is trading near strategic support at 1.3610.
The GBP/USD pair is approaching the March highs near 1.2900.
As we can see, the US dollar is slowly but surely losing ground in many directions, but by the end of the week, existing trends could either slow down or change direction dramatically.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD is climbing higher above the 1.0800 level. USD/JPY surged above the 160.00 and 161.40 resistance levels.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today
The Euro started a decent increase above the 1.0780 pivot level.
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
USD/JPY climbed higher above the 160.50 and 161.40 levels.
There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 161.55 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0710 zone. The Euro cleared a few key hurdles near 1.0780 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above the 1.0800 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.0845 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a test of the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0710 swing low to the 1.0845 high.
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Tuyên bố từ chối trách nhiệm Mục đích của trang web này là một nơi để học hỏi và thảo luận. Trang web và mỗi chủ đề hướng dẫn không khuyến khích bất kỳ ai tham gia giao dịch hoặc đầu tư dưới bất kỳ hình thức nào. Bất kỳ thông tin nào được hiển thị trong bất kỳ phần nào của trang web này không hứa hẹn bất kỳ chuyển động, lợi nhuận hoặc lợi nhuận nào cho bất kỳ nhà kinh doanh hoặc không phải nhà kinh doanh nào.
Bằng cách xem bất kỳ tài liệu nào hoặc sử dụng thông tin trong trang web này, bạn đồng ý rằng đó là tài liệu giáo dục chung cho dù đó là về việc học giao dịch trực tuyến hay không và bạn sẽ không chịu bất kỳ ai chịu trách nhiệm về mất mát hoặc thiệt hại do nội dung được cung cấp ở đây. Không quan trọng nếu trang web này có chứa tài liệu liên quan đến bất kỳ giao dịch nào. Đầu tư vào sản phẩm tài chính phải chịu rủi ro thị trường. Các sản phẩm tài chính, chẳng hạn như chứng khoán, ngoại hối, hàng hóa và tiền điện tử, được biết là rất đầu cơ và bất kỳ khoản đầu tư nào hoặc thứ gì đó liên quan đến chúng đều phải được thực hiện cẩn thận, không cần thiết với việc quản lý rủi ro cá nhân tốt.
Chuyển động giá trong quá khứ và hiệu suất trong quá khứ của một số nhà giao dịch nhất định không có nghĩa là đảm bảo cho hoạt động trong tương lai hoặc bất kỳ chuyển động nào của thị trường chứng khoán, ngoại hối, hàng hóa hoặc tiền điện tử. Trang web này chỉ dành cho mục đích thông tin và thảo luận trong trang web này. Cho dù là người mới tham gia giao dịch, người giao dịch bán thời gian hay người giao dịch toàn thời gian. Không ai ở đây có thể không đảm bảo hoặc đảm bảo về nội dung, cho dù đó là về giao dịch hay không. Nội dung thảo luận chỉ phản ánh quan điểm của từng cá nhân. Trang web không chịu trách nhiệm về tính chính xác của các bình luận của thành viên diễn đàn về việc học ngoại hối trực tuyến hay không và sẽ không chịu trách nhiệm pháp lý hoặc trách nhiệm pháp lý đối với các bài đăng thảo luận.
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تنصل الغرض من هذا الموقع هو أن يكون مكانًا للتعلم والمناقشة. لا يشجع موقع الويب وكل موضوع تعليمي أي شخص على المشاركة في التداول أو الاستثمار من أي نوع. أي معلومات معروضة في أي جزء من هذا الموقع لا تعد بأي حركة أو مكاسب أو ربح لأي متداول أو غير متداول.
من خلال عرض أي مادة أو استخدام المعلومات الموجودة في هذا الموقع ، فإنك توافق على أنها مادة تعليمية عامة سواء كانت تتعلق بتعلم التداول عبر الإنترنت أم لا ، ولن تتحمل أي شخص المسؤولية عن الخسارة أو الأضرار الناتجة عن المحتوى المقدم هنا. لا يهم إذا كان هذا الموقع يحتوي على مواد متعلقة بأي تداول. الاستثمار في المنتجات المالية عرضة لمخاطر السوق. من المعروف أن المنتجات المالية ، مثل الأسهم والفوركس والسلع والعملات المشفرة ، مضاربة للغاية وأي استثمار أو شيء مرتبط بها يجب أن يتم بعناية ، ومن المرغوب فيه مع إدارة مخاطر شخصية جيدة.
حركة الأسعار في الماضي والأداء السابق لبعض المتداولين ليست بأي حال من الأحوال ضمانًا للأداء المستقبلي أو أي حركة في سوق الأسهم أو العملات الأجنبية أو السلع أو العملات المشفرة. هذا الموقع هو لغرض إعلامي ومناقشة في هذا الموقع فقط. سواء كان مبتدئًا في التداول ، أو متداولين بدوام جزئي ، أو متداولين بدوام كامل. لا يمكن لأي شخص هنا تقديم أي ضمانات أو ضمانات فيما يتعلق بالمحتوى ، سواء كان الأمر يتعلق بالتداول أم لا. يعكس محتوى المناقشة وجهات نظر الأفراد فقط. لا يتحمل موقع الويب أي مسؤولية عن دقة تعليقات أعضاء المنتدى سواء حول تعلم الفوركس عبر الإنترنت أم لا ، ولن يتحمل أي مسؤولية أو مسؤولية قانونية عن منشورات المناقشة.
لا يمثل أي برنامج تعليمي وآراء وتعليقات مقدمة على هذا الموقع الآراء حول من يجب عليه شراء أو بيع أو الاحتفاظ باستثمارات معينة أو أسهم أو أزواج عملات فوركس أو سلعة أو أي منتجات أو دورات تدريبية. يجب على الجميع إجراء أبحاثهم المستقلة قبل اتخاذ أي قرار.
لا تأخذ المنشورات الواردة هنا في الاعتبار أهداف الاستثمار أو الوضع المالي أو الاحتياجات الخاصة لأي شخص معين. يجب أن تحصل على مشورة تداول فردية بناءً على ظروفك الخاصة قبل اتخاذ قرار استثماري على أساس المعلومات المتعلقة بالتداول والأمور الأخرى على هذا الموقع.
بصفتك مستخدمًا ، يجب أن توافق ، من خلال قبول هذه الشروط والأحكام ، على عدم استخدام هذا المنتدى لنشر أي محتوى مسيء ومبتذل وكراهية ومضايقة لأي متداولين وغير متداولين.
