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Topic Summary

Posted by: 确何
« on: November 24, 2023, 01:29:16 AM »

趋势交易工具

技术分析师有许多工具可以用来识别和分类趋势。

趋势线

趋势线是识别牛市和熊市的最简单方法之一。 您将它们应用于图表并使用它们来确定趋势的强度和方向。

趋势线有助于消除市场价格变动的波动,使您能够确定任何变动的大致过程。 他们消除噪音以显示是否存在潜在的牛市或熊市。

您可以看到随着时间的推移出现高点和低点的上升趋势。

要在您认为处于牛市的图表上绘制趋势线,只需在三个或更多市场低点(当价格下跌并反弹时)之间画一条线。 如果该线向上,则表明您已确认上升趋势。 线条越陡,趋势越强。

与此同时,下降趋势的特点是高点和低点较低。 要找到下降趋势,您需要在三个高点之间画一条线。 如果它向下,则市场处于熊市。

虽然可以使用两个点来创建趋势,但只有三个点才能定义趋势。

多趋势分析示例

您是否知道趋势在形成后更容易被发现,因此完全抓住趋势通常是不可能的。 大多数交易者的目标是覆盖趋势的大部分,而不是确切的顶部或底部。

如果这些线是水平的,则市场受到限制。

当市场保持趋势线时,您可以将其作为开立新仓位的区域,从而在趋势期间最大化您的利润。

渠道

您还可以使用趋势线来识别通道。 通道由两条平行线组成,市场价格走势在两条平行线之间移动。 要找到通道,请绘制两条趋势线 - 一条位于图表上的两个高点之间,一条位于图表上的两个低点之间。

如果市场价格走势保持在这两条线之间,您可以通过在顶部卖出和在底部买入来交易该通道。

图案

许多交易者还使用图表来识别趋势。

当市场呈趋势时,其图表通常会显示上升或下降的梯级。 每当最高点或最低点超过前一个时,就会发生这种情况。

上下楼梯方案示例

然而,技术交易者认为,还有许多其他模式可以预测趋势是否即将形成或逆转。 这些可以是三角形、旗形和楔形。 我们将在下一课中更详细地考虑它们。

数量

发现趋势的一个有用工具是成交量。 交易量告诉您证券在任何特定时段的交易量,并可以让您了解走势的强度。 如果市场正在上涨但很少有人购买,那么这一走势可能没有足够的动力来持续很长时间。

指数

使用指标还可以帮助交易者根据趋势进行交易。

交易者常用的指标是移动平均线。 它为您提供特定时期内市场价格的平均动态,并可以告诉您新趋势何时即将进入。 另一方面,相对强度指数(RSI)通常用于衡量当前趋势的强度。

指标和模式对于寻找交易机会很有用,但它们并非万无一失。 一如既往,良好的资金管理和风险控制很重要。

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