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Topic Summary

Posted by: XuJieTang
« on: October 04, 2019, 12:12:04 AM »

英国脱欧截止日期前三十天悬而未决的五个问题

英国反对派工党认为脱欧并非不可避免(路透社)
                   
           
                   
                   
                       
                            在原定于本月底的脱离欧盟的最后期限之前,英国打算如何应对脱欧事宜尚不清楚。以下是悬而未决的五个问题:- 可能达成什么协议?英国首相约翰逊不支持“边境保障措施(backstop)”,这是前首相特蕾莎·梅达成协议中的安全保障,该机制旨在防止恢复英国北爱尔兰与欧盟成员国爱尔兰之间的边界控制,其中包括维护1998年签署的和平协议以及维护欧盟单一市场。在目前的协议中,上述机制在最后时刻被取代,修订协议中规定建立一个包括欧盟和英国的“单一关税区”,英国脱欧的支持者们认为,这项规定可以无期限地将英国置于布鲁塞尔大区之内,鉴于此,必须寻找到其他的解决方案,其中包括在距离边境几公里处建立海关中心。都柏林认为这是一个新领域,被取代的另一个解决方案是“爱尔兰海中边界”条款,但这对许多保守主义者来说是不可想象的,因为这会触及英国的主权。- 是否会有获得支持的任何新协议?英国立法者三次反对前首相特蕾莎·梅与欧盟达成的协议,如果约翰逊设法与欧盟达成新协议,但他只有仅仅几天时间来推动英国议会通过这项新协议,据悉,在发生分裂以及保守党倒戈支持推迟英国脱欧之后,约翰逊失去了多数支持。在最高法院裁决取消约翰逊暂停议会工作的决定后,英国首相与议员之间的紧张关系在上周达到顶峰。- 可以推迟脱欧吗?此前,原定于3月29日的英国脱欧最后期限被两次推迟,原因是议会就如何脱欧获得多数支持。尽管9月10日投票通过的一项法案迫使约翰逊在本月17日和18日欧盟峰会期间未能达成协议情况下,将英国脱欧最后期限推迟三个月,首相约翰逊将这项所谓的“投降法案”表示谴责,他并强调称,其绝不会要求推迟脱欧日期。这样的推迟将需要获得欧盟27个成员国的同意,而这些国家希望英国对接下来举措拥有明确的想法。- 可能进行选举吗?鉴于持续的危机以及缺乏政府多数席位支持,英国在未来数周或数月内提前举行大选似乎是不可避免地,所有政党都在为提前选举全力以赴做准备。到目前为止,英国反对派工党立场仍然捉摸不定,该党表示,其正在等待推迟英国脱欧的决定,在当前混乱的局势中,不确定在选举中是否会出现明显的多数支持。- 可以避免英国脱欧吗?反对党认为,英国脱欧并非不可避免,工党承诺,如果赢得选举,其将举行第二次全民公投,并在公投中提出与欧盟重新谈判或是继续留在欧盟的选择。民主自由主义者和苏格兰分离主义者希望“阻止英国脱欧”,但改变线路的时间已经不多了。

Source: 英国脱欧截止日期前三十天悬而未决的五个问题

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