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Topic Summary

Posted by: 是的
« on: March 11, 2020, 05:02:47 AM »

日元波動導致外匯波動加劇;商品貨幣暴跌

路透倫敦/新加坡2月7日-美元兌日圓下跌3%,大宗商品相關貨幣週一下跌,因油價暴跌30%,股市下跌令投資者感到恐慌,並使貨幣價格大幅波動。

歐元/美元市場-世界上交易量最大的貨幣對-波動幅度創下2017年4月以來的最高水平,歐元上漲超過1%至2019年1月以來的最高水平。

美元兌日元一個月隱含波動率飆升至11年高點,至8.8%,原因是美元跌至2016年以來的最低水平。

由於美國國債收益率的下跌,投資者正在拋售美元。基準收益率報0.47%,此前幾天交易價格高於1%,原因是交易員拋棄了風險資產並前往政府債券市場的安全。

石油輸出國組織(OPEC)的供應協議破裂後,沙特阿拉伯承諾大幅下調價格並提高產量後,油價下跌了30%。 [要么]

由於他們難以評估冠狀病毒所造成的經濟損失,令投資者感到不安的是,他們不僅僅受到市場狂妄行動的打擊。

ING分析師表示:“金融市場已經粗暴地喚醒了人們的觀念,即波動性已經成為過去。我們現在看到的是自2008-09年全球金融危機以來從未出現過那種市場動盪。”作為貨幣市場的“完美風暴”。

他們寫道:“所有這些都有助於實現安全的極端逃亡,就像日元和瑞郎一樣。”

在繁忙的貿易中,美元兌日元匯率下跌了3%,至101.58,為三年多以來的最低水平。歐元兌美元EUR =(EUR =)最新上漲1.1%,至1.1495美元,最新報1.1408美元。

美元指數跌至2018年9月以來的最低點,隨後有所回升至95.181,跌幅為0.3%。

瑞士法郎兌美元升值近1%,但兌歐元持平(EURCHF = EBS)。

一些最大的舉動是與油價掛鉤的貨幣。

挪威的王冠下跌至創紀錄的低點。歐元兌美元匯率上漲了近5%,至10.997(EURNOK = D3),美元匯率上漲了3%以上,至9.5455克朗。加元兌美元下跌1.3%至1.3606加元。俄羅斯盧布和墨西哥比索兌美元匯率分別下跌了6%。

澳大利亞和新西蘭元下跌近2%。

BNP Paribas(PA:BNPP)新加坡財富管理公司亞洲外匯業務負責人Shafali Sachdev說:“這完全是瘋狂的。” “這不是我要面對的火車,它要持續多久以及從這裡到哪裡,將取決於局勢的發展。”

她說,庫存進一步下降可能會推動融資貨幣的更多收益。

迄今為止,日元正朝著自2008年金融危機以來的最大三日漲幅邁進。在十二個交易日內上漲了9.4%。

對於日本出口商而言,這一收益是個壞消息,並且引起了日本決策者的擔憂。一位高級財務官員警告稱,當局正在密切關注貿易。

在低波動時期-且貨幣市場波動已達到或接近創紀錄的低點幾年-投資者大量借入歐元或日元等低收益或負收益貨幣來在其他地方購買高收益外匯。

突然的風險規避和波動性使投資者驚恐地扭轉這些頭寸,導致貨幣瘋狂波動。

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