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At last G20 is showing how to finance an assault on poverty | Larry Elliott
Brazilian president Lula’s proposals have the backing of the World Bank. Now we need action All things considered, the world’s richest countries have emerged from the global pandemic in better shape than they could have imagined when Covid-19 first appeared just over four years ago.To be sure, the impact of lockdown and its aftermath has been painful, but the effects on poor countries have been far more severe. Continue reading...
Gold hits fresh record high; Fitch downgrades Thames Water parent company – as it happened
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, as gold rises almost 1% today to $2,365 per ounceUK retailers given hope of ‘green shoots of recovery’ after Easter pickupMexican precious metals mining company Fresnillo is benefitting from the rally in gold and silver.Fresnillo is leading the risers on the UK’s FTSE 100 share index this morning, up 4.4%, to its highest level since the start of January.Iran’s explicit threat of military retaliation following Israel’s targeting of its Syrian embassy has escalated tensions, amplifying the spectre of a broader regional conflict with potentially unforeseeable repercussions.Concurrently, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine exacerbates investor anxieties. Continue reading...
Brexit import charges may mean rise in food prices, say trade groups
Fees of up to £145 on EU animal and plant products through Dover and Folkestone begin on 30 AprilBusiness live – latest updatesTrade groups have warned that consumers could see a rise in food prices after the UK government announced the introduction of post-Brexit charges on imports of EU food and plant products later this month.The government has published details of fees – known as the common user charge – which will apply to small imports of animal products and plants, such as sausages, cheese and yoghurt, entering the UK from the EU through the port of Dover and through Eurotunnel at Folkestone. Continue reading...
Blow for Sunak as revised figures confirm UK went into recession last year
Latest estimate from ONS says GDP declined by 0.3% in final quarter of 2023• Why recession may be deeper than headline GDP falls suggestBusiness live – latest updatesOfficial figures have confirmed that the UK economy went into recession at the end of last year, after the latest estimate found it contracted in the last two quarters of 2023.In a blow to the government’s economic standing, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the economy, as measured by gross domestic product, shrank by 0.3% in the last three months of the year, unrevised from an earlier estimate. Continue reading...
Longest sustained rise in people too sick to work since 1990s, says thinktank
Resolution Foundation points to legacy of Covid as it warns that near-record 2.7m people are too ill to workBritain is going through the longest sustained rise in the number of working-age adults who are too sick to work since the 1990s, according to a report warning that a benefits crackdown is unlikely to solve the country’s jobless crisis.The Resolution Foundation said economic inactivity due to long-term sickness – when people aged 16-64 are neither in work nor looking for a job because of a health condition – had increased in each year since July 2019, the longest sustained rise since 1994 to 1998. Continue reading...
UK government borrows more in February than forecast with highest debt since 1960s
Higher than expected figure of £8.4bn in February could derail OBR forecast for £114.1bn deficit for 2023-24Business live – latest updatesJeremy Hunt has been handed disappointing news from the public finances after government borrowing was higher than expected in February, leaving the national debt at the highest levels since the 1960s.The Office for National Statistics said public sector net borrowing was £8.4bn in February, £3.4bn less than in the same month a year ago. However, it was higher than any economist expected in a Reuters poll that predicted a deficit of £6bn. Continue reading...
UK inflation: which goods and services have changed most in price?
From milk to pasta and bicycles to vet bills, how the cost of everyday things variesUK inflation falls to 3.4% in February to lowest level for two and a half yearsThe fight against UK inflation is being won – but when will interest rates be cut?Business live – latest updatesThe UK’s annual inflation rate fell to 3.4% in February amid a slowdown in food and restaurant price rises.The Office for National Statistics compiled the overall reading using the consumer prices index but also logs prices for individual goods and services. Here we look at how the cost of many of those everyday items has changed over the past year. Continue reading...
Rachel Reeves: Treasury will ‘hardwire’ growth into tax and spending decisions
Shadow chancellor to outline plans to shake up department after Labour election victoryThe Treasury under a Labour government would “hardwire” raising Britain’s growth rate into its budget tax and spending decisions as part of plans to shake up Whitehall’s most powerful department, Rachel Reeves is to announce.The shadow chancellor will use a lecture in London on Tuesday to say that a decade of national renewal must start with “day one” reform after a Labour election victory to make growth more pivotal to the Treasury’s work. Continue reading...
China may be facing too many economic obstacles to hit its ambitious growth target for 2024
Fighting deflation, a sinking property market and weak internal demand, Beijing has set itself a challenging goal in 2024Chinese leaders who have been predicting an end to the country’s deflation would have been heartened by official statistics this week showing consumer prices had increased for the first time in six months.The news came as the ruling Communist party used its annual gathering in Beijing to declare the economy would clock up growth of “around 5%” in 2024. However in his speech, Premier Li Qiang warned dutiful delegates they “should not lose sight of worst-case scenarios and should be well prepared for all risks and challenges”. Continue reading...
The Guardian view on supply chains: not only just in time, but just in case | Editorial
Countries are placing a higher priority on resilience and security in the wake of the pandemic and as tensions growIn 2012, shortly before becoming China’s top leader, Xi Jinping visited the Port of Los Angeles to discuss boosting trade. What then looked like a locus of cooperation has now become another site for suspicion as Sino-American relations remain tense. Last month, the Biden administration announced $20bn of funding for port infrastructure, much of it to replace cargo cranes that have almost all been made by a state-owned Chinese firm. The US is concerned because the sophisticated pieces of equipment manage information about containers and their contents, their origins and their destinations – and can be remotely programmed and controlled. It wants to restart domestic production of the cranes, which have not been made in the US for decades.The move comes amid a much broader economic rethinking: what the EU foreign affairs chief, Josep Borrell, last year described as “a paradigm shift from the primacy of open markets to the primacy of security; from ‘just in time’ to ‘just in case’”. The pandemic was a wake-up call, forcing nations to scrutinise their supply chains, and ask whether they had sacrificed resilience for efficiency. The climate crisis is already affecting logistics: low rainfall in Panama has forced the authorities to limit vessels using the canal. Cyber-attacks by criminal actors are another concern. The Japanese port of Nagoya was put out of action by a ransomware attack last summer. But current conflicts and geopolitical divides are driving the changes. Continue reading...
‘It won’t shift the polls’: Tory MPs rue budget that lacked pre-election pizzazz
Headline cut to national insurance rate echoes measure taken in autumn statement, which made little impact on votersJeremy Hunt has spent weeks managing expectations over potential tax cuts in his spring budget, with Tory MPs desperately searching for ways to avoid election defeat as household finances buckle under a record tax bill and the cost of living crisis.As the chancellor’s fiscal headroom shrank in the run-up to the budget, so did his plans for spending in areas such as housing and defence, as he promised he would not “take any risks” with the British economy despite all the political pressure. Continue reading...
Wednesday briefing: What’s in Hunt’s spring budget – and how will he pay for it?
In today’s newsletter: As the chancellor presents a plan aimed at satisfying the Tory faithful, we look at what he will do and what it will mean for you• Sign up here for our daily newsletter, First EditionGood morning, and strap on your Homer Simpson secret nap spectacles: it’s budget day. Coming into this one, the big question about Jeremy Hunt is this: is he, as friends of his recently told the FT, “realistic enough to know he is unlikely to be chancellor this time next year” – or does he think that his decisions today can give the Conservatives a serious chance of winning the election? Does he want to bolster his economic legacy – or give his many vulnerable backbenchers something to tell voters about?The truth is likely to be somewhere in the middle: tax cuts to satisfy the Tory faithful, with just enough cover on affordability to keep fiscal watchdog the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) happy. Today’s newsletter is a simple guide to what that means: what the chancellor will do, the dubious sums that will help him afford it, and what it’ll mean for you. Here are the headlines.US politics | Joe Biden and Donald Trump cruised to easy victories on Super Tuesday, as both men piled up delegates on their way to their parties’ nominations for the presidency. While Nikki Haley did win the Republican primary in Vermont, that was her only success against Trump, and she came under renewed pressure to drop out of the race.Birmingham | Councillors in Birmingham have approved what are thought to be the biggest budget cuts in local authority history. 600 council jobs are under threat, with libraries closed, bin collections reduced, street lights dimmed, and arts grants scrapped. The council also approved a 10% council tax increase for the upcoming financial year.Israel-Gaza war | Negotiations aimed at brokering a ceasefire in the Israel-Gaza war appear to have stalled, days before an unofficial deadline of the beginning of Ramadan. Israel did not send a delegation to the second day of talks in Cairo as hoped, demanding that Hamas present a list of hostages who would be the first to be released.UK politics | Michelle Donelan, the science minister, has apologised and paid damages after accusing two academics of “sharing extremist views” and one of them of supporting Hamas. Donelan – whose department covered the damages and legal expenses – had faced a libel action after her allegations led to the two academics’ suspension from roles at Research England.Monarchy | The army has removed a claim on its website that the Princess of Wales will attend an event in June, after apparently publishing the information without approval from Kensington Palace. Catherine has been recovering from abdominal surgery for the past seven weeks, with no date yet given for her return to public duties. Continue reading...
Don’t sit at home mourning the loss of Britain’s nightclubs – go out and rave | Dan Hancox
Our nightlife isn’t universally suffering. What it needs is participation, not elegiesHaving fun is big business. Without the factories and mills that first drew hundreds of thousands to towns and cities, today’s modern metropolis is expected to sustain itself and its residents through the manufacturing of leisure and the commodification of a good time. The zeitgeist phrasing is telling: the night-time is now its own economy – one worth an estimated £66bn in the UK. Cities are no longer expected to sleep – sleep is wasted consumption time, after all. But from nightclubs to pubs and restaurants, the story being told about British nightlife is clear: it is in deep trouble.A report published this month by the Night Time Industries Association (NTIA) looked into the economic and cultural impact of electronic music in Britain, and found that – while it is thriving on digital platforms, at festivals and in terms of global impact – the bricks-and-mortar world of clubland is in crisis. And what is dance music without any dancefloors?Dan Hancox is a freelance journalist, focusing on music, politics, cities and culture. His new book, Multitudes: How Crowds Made The Modern World, is published later this year Continue reading...
China needs to do more on ‘silent crisis’ of debt, says World Bank official
Beijing must be more ready to support countries facing distress, says deputy chief economistChina holds the key to speeding up debt relief and ending the “silent crisis” that is holding back attempts to tackle poverty in the world’s poorest countries, a senior World Bank official has said.Ayhan Kose, the Bank’s deputy chief economist, said Beijing needed to be more active in negotiations to provide financial support for those countries already in, or close to, debt distress. Continue reading...
The Tories’ tax plans are absurd. When will Labour be brave enough to say so? | William Keegan
Pre-election giveaways funded by yet more austerity will push the welfare state the opposition created towards ruinAs a longstanding observer of the British economy, I sympathise with the general reader trying to make sense of recent reports on what is happening to it.One week he or she is told that inflation is falling; another week that it isn’t. One week we are reliably informed that interest rates are going to be reduced; the next that they are not. One week there is no danger of falling into recession. The next week we are informed that we are already in one. Continue reading...
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Tuyên bố từ chối trách nhiệm Mục đích của trang web này là một nơi để học hỏi và thảo luận. Trang web và mỗi chủ đề hướng dẫn không khuyến khích bất kỳ ai tham gia giao dịch hoặc đầu tư dưới bất kỳ hình thức nào. Bất kỳ thông tin nào được hiển thị trong bất kỳ phần nào của trang web này không hứa hẹn bất kỳ chuyển động, lợi nhuận hoặc lợi nhuận nào cho bất kỳ nhà kinh doanh hoặc không phải nhà kinh doanh nào.
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تنصل الغرض من هذا الموقع هو أن يكون مكانًا للتعلم والمناقشة. لا يشجع موقع الويب وكل موضوع تعليمي أي شخص على المشاركة في التداول أو الاستثمار من أي نوع. أي معلومات معروضة في أي جزء من هذا الموقع لا تعد بأي حركة أو مكاسب أو ربح لأي متداول أو غير متداول.
من خلال عرض أي مادة أو استخدام المعلومات الموجودة في هذا الموقع ، فإنك توافق على أنها مادة تعليمية عامة سواء كانت تتعلق بتعلم التداول عبر الإنترنت أم لا ، ولن تتحمل أي شخص المسؤولية عن الخسارة أو الأضرار الناتجة عن المحتوى المقدم هنا. لا يهم إذا كان هذا الموقع يحتوي على مواد متعلقة بأي تداول. الاستثمار في المنتجات المالية عرضة لمخاطر السوق. من المعروف أن المنتجات المالية ، مثل الأسهم والفوركس والسلع والعملات المشفرة ، مضاربة للغاية وأي استثمار أو شيء مرتبط بها يجب أن يتم بعناية ، ومن المرغوب فيه مع إدارة مخاطر شخصية جيدة.
حركة الأسعار في الماضي والأداء السابق لبعض المتداولين ليست بأي حال من الأحوال ضمانًا للأداء المستقبلي أو أي حركة في سوق الأسهم أو العملات الأجنبية أو السلع أو العملات المشفرة. هذا الموقع هو لغرض إعلامي ومناقشة في هذا الموقع فقط. سواء كان مبتدئًا في التداول ، أو متداولين بدوام جزئي ، أو متداولين بدوام كامل. لا يمكن لأي شخص هنا تقديم أي ضمانات أو ضمانات فيما يتعلق بالمحتوى ، سواء كان الأمر يتعلق بالتداول أم لا. يعكس محتوى المناقشة وجهات نظر الأفراد فقط. لا يتحمل موقع الويب أي مسؤولية عن دقة تعليقات أعضاء المنتدى سواء حول تعلم الفوركس عبر الإنترنت أم لا ، ولن يتحمل أي مسؤولية أو مسؤولية قانونية عن منشورات المناقشة.
لا يمثل أي برنامج تعليمي وآراء وتعليقات مقدمة على هذا الموقع الآراء حول من يجب عليه شراء أو بيع أو الاحتفاظ باستثمارات معينة أو أسهم أو أزواج عملات فوركس أو سلعة أو أي منتجات أو دورات تدريبية. يجب على الجميع إجراء أبحاثهم المستقلة قبل اتخاذ أي قرار.
لا تأخذ المنشورات الواردة هنا في الاعتبار أهداف الاستثمار أو الوضع المالي أو الاحتياجات الخاصة لأي شخص معين. يجب أن تحصل على مشورة تداول فردية بناءً على ظروفك الخاصة قبل اتخاذ قرار استثماري على أساس المعلومات المتعلقة بالتداول والأمور الأخرى على هذا الموقع.
بصفتك مستخدمًا ، يجب أن توافق ، من خلال قبول هذه الشروط والأحكام ، على عدم استخدام هذا المنتدى لنشر أي محتوى مسيء ومبتذل وكراهية ومضايقة لأي متداولين وغير متداولين.